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Friday, May 30, 2014

CFR Daily News Brief 5/30 East Asian Nations Meet for Security Dialogue

Council on Foreign Relations Daily News Brief
May 30, 2014

Top of the Agenda

East Asian Nations Meet for Security Dialogue
Regional defense officials are meeting Friday at the three-day Shangri-La Dialogue in Singapore, where Japanese prime minister Shinzo Abe, who will deliver the keynote speech, is expected to promote Japan (Japan Times) as a counterbalance to China and push for a greater role in Asian security. Abe will also explain Japan's reasons for reviewing legal constraints imposed by its pacifist constitution amid the changing security landscape, which has seen sharply escalating tensions (BBC) in the South and East China Seas. U.S. defense secretary Chuck Hagel will also attend the event. Meanwhile, the U.S. Air Force deployed two advanced surveillance drones (AP) to a base in northern Japan in a bid to enhance its ability to monitor Chinese naval operations and nuclear activities in North Korea.

Analysis

"Beijing has started to show its tough-guy stance by, among other things, claiming ownership of islands lying between it and Japan and by enforcing its massive—and utterly ridiculous—claims to almost the entire South China Sea. But unlike ten years ago, many of Beijing's angry neighbors are no longer weaklings," writes CFR's Joshua Kurlantzick.
"China is seeking to prove to its neighbours that containment cannot work and that the US cannot be relied upon to defend them. If it can do so, they and Washington will have to acknowledge that the status quo is untenable. It is a dangerous strategy. It is also a clever one," writes David Pilling for the Financial Times.
"Over the years, the world has witnessed not only the rise of China, but also of many other Asian countries, which, in turn, has led to the global economic center of gravity moving from West to East. Given that governments in most of these nations maintain their grip on power based on their ability to provide jobs and the promise that they can defend national territory, no leader can actually afford to be seen as taking a laid-back minimalist approach to territorial disputes," says William Choong in a Deutsche Welle interview.

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