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A Five-Year Outlook for Russian Foreign Policy: Demands, Drivers, and Influences
Whether
Russia’s foreign policy achieves its objectives depends primarily on
the success or failure of the country’s economic relaunch.
This publication is from the Task Force on U.S. Policy Toward Russia, Ukraine, and Eurasia project. | http://carnegie.ru/2016/03/18/
In 2014, amid the Ukraine crisis, Russia broke out of the post–Cold War system and openly challenged U.S. dominance. This move effectively ended a quarter century of cooperative relations among great powers and ushered in an era of intense competition between them. Two years on, Moscow continues to be in defiance. The conflict with the West has deepened, and confrontation with the United States and estrangement from EU countries are now the salient features of Russia’s international environment. Virtually simultaneously, Russia has entered a severe economic crisis, brought about by the demise of its oil-dependent economic model, which was exacerbated by Western sanctions in response to Moscow’s actions in Ukraine and especially by the plunge in the oil price. This complicated situation will last a number of years, and its outcome will largely determine the future of Russia. This outcome will also have a significant impact on the international system.http://carnegie.ru/2016/03/18/five-year-outlook-for-russian-foreign-policy-demands-drivers-and-influences/ivkm?mkt_tok=3RkMMJWWfF9wsRonu6zNd%2B%2FhmjTEU5z16uklWKW1lMI%2F0ER3fOvrPUfGjI4IRMthI%2BSLDwEYGJlv6SgFSrnAMbBwzLgFWhI%3D
In 2014, amid the Ukraine crisis, Russia broke out of the post–Cold War system and openly challenged U.S. dominance. This move effectively ended a quarter century of cooperative relations among great powers and ushered in an era of intense competition between them. Two years on, Moscow continues to be in defiance. The conflict with the West has deepened, and confrontation with the United States and estrangement from EU countries are now the salient features of Russia’s international environment. Virtually simultaneously, Russia has entered a severe economic crisis, brought about by the demise of its oil-dependent economic model, which was exacerbated by Western sanctions in response to Moscow’s actions in Ukraine and especially by the plunge in the oil price. This complicated situation will last a number of years, and its outcome will largely determine the future of Russia. This outcome will also have a significant impact on the international system.http://carnegie.ru/2016/03/18/five-year-outlook-for-russian-foreign-policy-demands-drivers-and-influences/ivkm?mkt_tok=3RkMMJWWfF9wsRonu6zNd%2B%2FhmjTEU5z16uklWKW1lMI%2F0ER3fOvrPUfGjI4IRMthI%2BSLDwEYGJlv6SgFSrnAMbBwzLgFWhI%3D
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