US v China: is this the new cold war? - FT.com By
Geoff Dyer--The new era of military competition in the Pacific will
become the defining geopolitical contest of the 21st century // I have
started Dyer's new book The Contest of the Century: The New Era of Competition with China--and How America Can Win, looks excellent
Related: How China and America See Each Other | Foreign Affairs Minxin Pei// As
a result, as China continues to grow stronger, it will seek either to
modify the existing order or, if such an endeavor proves too risky or
too costly, to construct a parallel order more to its liking. Such an
order would not necessarily stand in direct conflict with the U.S.-led
order, in the way that the Soviet bloc did, but it would have its own
rules, exclude the West, and allow China to play a dominant role.
Indeed, Beijing’s investments in the Shanghai Cooperation Organization
and the planned BRICS development bank (a joint financial institution to
be established by Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa)
suggest that China is already moving down this path. China’s
controversial establishment last November of an air defense
identification zone that overlaps with those of Japan and South Korea
dramatically raised the risks of conflict with the United States and its
allies. And it has further vindicated the realists’ warning that China
will not hesitate to challenge the Western order once it has the ability
to do so.
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