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Friday, October 19, 2012

The Biggest Downside Risks To The Global Economy

The Biggest Downside Risks To The Global Economy

Occasionally, over the last several years, I've posted a list of downside risks to economic growth - and here is another one. Currently my forecast is still for sluggish and choppy growth, but I think there are reasons to expect US economic growth to pickup in the next year or two, perhaps to trend growth. As I noted last month in Two Reasons to expect Economic Growth to Increase, residential investment is now a tailwind for the economy, and the drag from state and local government cutbacks is mostly behind us.

There are always many downside risks (meteor strikes, major terrorist attack, war somewhere - possibly with Iran), but I think these are the most probable downside risks:http://www.businessinsider.com/the-biggest-downside-risks-to-the-global-economy-2012-10?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+clusterstock+%28ClusterStock%29

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