The Conundrum of the Coming Islamic State Collapse
Posted by: Perry Cammack
In the chaotic aftermath of Russia’s 1917 October Revolution, Bolshevik leaders similarly attempted to re-establish control over their country while promoting communist revolution in Europe and beyond. But these copycat uprisings quickly failed, and “Socialism in One State” became official Soviet policy by 1924. From then on the Soviet Union operated more like a traditional state than a revolutionary one.
For its part, the Islamic State is moving in the opposite direction. Its governance model is failing and it lacks revenues to sustain even minimal service provision. As a result, it is slowly shedding its state, a trend which could well accelerate if the Iraqi campaign to retake Mosul is successful in the months ahead.