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Sunday, November 27, 2011

The 'new Dunkirk' - British forces to use Tsars' railway to travel 3,500 miles home by train from Afghanistan

From Chuck Spinney

... How the Military - Industrial - Congressional Complex (MICC) Will Win By Losing

The old adage that it is easy to get into Afghanistan but painful to leave is true for many reasons -- here is a big one [also attached below] -- the land route to the English Channel.   

And if you think the horror described by the Daily Mirror is bad, think about the US options: Given our deteriorating relations with Pakistan, the long vulnerable land route out of Afghanistan, thru the Bolan and Khyber passes, and then down the road system of the Indus Valley in Pakistan to its port of Karachi, is becoming increasingly hostile territory.  So one US exit strategy may well end up being a agonizing variation of the Dunkirk option described below plus a sea lift, perhaps via transshipment points in Black Sea ports, like Batumi in Georgia or Novorossiysk or Sochi in southern Russia or even Odessa in the Ukraine.  

A more remote option would be to repair relations with the mullahs of Iran and exit overland westward thru the ports in that country, assuming we lift sanctions and can prevent are so-called allies, the Israelis, from bombing Iran.

But the most likely exit option is the time-honored US strategy of leaving mounds of expensive equipment behind when it walks away from a war.  Moreover, that would be great for the MICC's future budgets, because it would make it easier to sell a "reset" program to replace the losses with newer, even more expensive weapons and equipment.

So, as the Aussies say, 'no worries, mate,' because 'tomorrow is another day,' and besides, the MICC will win by losing, after Afghanistan is gone with the wind.

Chuck Spinney
 

The 'new Dunkirk' - British forces to use Tsars' railway to travel 3,500 miles home by train from Afghanistan

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