Pages

Search This Blog

Wednesday, July 16, 2014

CFR Daily News Brief 7/16 Israel Ramps Up Gaza Campaign

Council on Foreign Relations Daily News Brief
July 16, 2014

Top of the Agenda

Israel Ramps Up Gaza Campaign
Hundreds of Gazan families evacuated their homes on Wednesday following warnings of further airstrikes (AP) as Israel threatened to launch ground operations (Reuters) in the Palestinian enclave. Overnight Tuesday, Israel bombed the homes of Hamas political leaders, while Gaza-fired rockets were intercepted over Tel Aviv, following an abortive cease-fire (NYT). Palestinian deaths in the current round of fighting surpassed two hundred, according to health officials, while Israel suffered its first fatality. Meanwhile, reports emerged that Egypt's cease-fire proposal was hammered out without the knowledge of much of the Israeli cabinet, and took Hamas officials by surprise (Haaretz).

Analysis

"In the absence of effective Egyptian participation, and with Hamas's political leadership holed up in Doha, a vital key to a cease-fire seems unavailable. Hamas is therefore on autopilot, trying to wrest any tangible win from a slugging match that has barely damaged Israel, while exposing the Gazan people to constant air assault and the possibility of a costly ground invasion. It has no outside allies to call upon; no friendly power it can claim has compelled it to back down," writes Steven Simon for the Middle East Institute.
"For Hamas, Egypt's involvement must go further than reinstating a simple cease-fire based on 'quiet-for-quiet' between the two sides, while leaving political developments for future discussions. The recent proposal is strikingly similar to the 2012 agreement, which began to fall apart soon after it became clear that the promised normalization of Gaza would not be forthcoming. Stability between Hamas and Israel will require a long-term political approach for Gaza," write Benedetta Berti and Zack Gold in Foreign Affairs.
"Mr Netanyahu's problem is not victory per se – but, rather, victory to what end? His difficulty in closing out this latest round originates from his lack of an end game, in either Gaza or the West Bank – at least not one he will acknowledge publicly. He does not want to reoccupy Gaza and to formally reassume responsibility for its 1.7m inhabitants. He knows responsibility cannot be forced on Egypt and he has no interest in handing Gaza to Mr Abbas in order to strengthen the moderate Palestinian camp," writes Daniel Levy in the Financial Times.

No comments: