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Sunday, February 17, 2019

April is the Magic Month for Fake Gas Attacks in Syria - Guest Post by Ted Postol

Dear Colleagues:
I am both pleasantly surprised and totally baffled by the strong acceptance of the information just published regarding the inaccuracy of official and media reports that nerve agent was used in Douma on April 7, 2018.
In what follows, I will show you that inaccurate information was also provided by official and media sources about a nerve agent attack on April 4, 2017 in Khan Sheikhoun, Syria.  This particular misreporting is more consequential than the misreporting of Douma because the events at Khan Sheikhoun resulted in the first of two cruise missile attacks against the Syrian government for war crimes that did not occur as claimed.
Also of relevance, the second US cruise missile attack on Damascus that followed the Douma attack was in part justified by President Trump because the Syrian government had, according to him, not “learned its lesson” from the first US cruise missile attack that was supposed to have punished the Syrian government for its alleged war crime at Khan Sheikhoun. 
The Khan Sheikhoun incident is also more serious because the UN has published, under very considerable pressure from the United States, a totally false technical finding that there was evidence that the Syrian government was responsible for that attack.  Subsequently the United States and Russia exchanged vetoes in the UN Security Council over the veracity of the UN report and the Russians vetoed the extension of the Joint Investigative Mission (JIM) because they concluded the investigation had been rigged for political reasons.  These events have in turn had an adverse effect on the credibility of the Chemical Weapons Convention (CWC) and the UN as instruments for the enforcement of international law.  As such, I believe the staging of false evidence at Khan Sheikhoun is a considerably more serious event in terms of its consequences then the events at Douma – which by themselves are quite serious.
The PDF file attached to this email contains text and images from a talk I gave in London on October 14, 2018 at a conference held by the Center for Investigative Journalism (CIJ) at Goldsmiths, University of London.  For those of you who would like to see the actual presentation on YouTube it can be found at:
What I find somewhat amazing at this time is that the egregious misreporting of the evidence and events at Khan Sheikhoun was far more unmistakable than the case of the misreporting at Douma.
If you simply look at the image below (slide 47 from the PDF file ) you can see drag marks in the dirt behind the carcass of a dead goat that the press and the UN investigators claimed was poisoned by sarin released from a nearby crater.
In fact, my scientist colleagues and I have shown using supercomputer calculations and detailed observations of the crater itself that the crater was formed by a improvised rocket with an improvised explosive warhead carrying roughly 6 kg of explosives.  We determined this from supercomputer calculations which produce exactly what is observed in numerous photographs of the crater (see PDF for additional images and discussion).
Of special significance is that the crater contained a metal pipe that we identified for certain was the empty rocket motor casing of an improvised rocket.  This spent rocket motor casing was misidentifiede by the UN investigation as a vessel that contained sarin.  Our conclusion indicates that no sarin was released from the crater.  This is elaborated in the PDF file, which also contains a short video showing the supercomputer results that elucidate how the arriving and exploding rocket both creates the crater and bends the rocket motor casing on impact.  The calculation not only shows that the shape of the crater is from the exploding rocket warhead, but also that the bending of the pipe in the crater was due to torques on the empty rocket motor casing created as it hit the ground and bent forward.  Thus, every detail of what was observed in and around the crater is replicated by our calculations.
Since there is no evidence of a sarin release at that crater, and there are drag marks behind the goat carcass, the most straightforward explanation is that the goat was poisoned with sarin somewhere else and its carcass was dragged to the location near the crater where it was then videoed.
Since the goat could have been poisoned with a drop of sarin while it was confined confined in a small room, the amount of sarin needed for killing the goat could have easily been produced by a moderately talented chemistry student.  My guess is that the sarin was actually produced from Methyelphosphonyl difluoride, which is a critical precursor for making sarin when mixed with isopropyl alcohol.  The Methyelphosphonyl difluoride is known to be available to rebels, who have used sarin in the past and who have been captured with Methyelphosphonyl difluoride in their possession.
The goat hairs were then given to the UN and found to have sarin on them.  UN inspectors were never on the scene and no chain of custody of any kind was enforced.  Thus, this was the equivalent of the police and courts accepting DNA evidence from a third potentially criminal party to a crime without regard to chain of custody.
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The UN investigators claimed that they had examined the extensive record of videos that were posted on the Internet after the events at Khan Sheikhoun, but they did not find the evidence of the goat being dragged to the location in spite of the fact it was immediately found by me and others who had much fewer resources than the UN.  The four slides shown below labeled 46, 47, 48, and 49 from the attached PDF give a very brief explanation of the situation.
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The UN also found the Syrian government culpable for dropping high explosive gravity bombs on three additional sites during the April 4, 2017 alleged nerve agent drop.
Slide number 35 below shows before and after high resolution satellite photographs of one of the three bombed sites.  The yellow circles show the locations where the New York Times and the UN investigators allege that a 500 pound bomb exploded on the ground.  As explained in the attached PDF file, the building where the 500 pound bomb was supposed to have exploded would simply be rubble and would be easily seen as such from the satellite photographs.  There is in fact no evidence of bomb damage in the before and after photographs of all three sites – that is “the emperor has no clothes.”
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Stated yet another way, the buildings would simply not be present in the after photographs if they had been hit with 500 pound bombs at the locations marked by the New York Times.
In summary, the alleged nerve agent attack at Khan Sheikhoun did not occur as claimed by the UN and reported by mainstream papers like the New York Times and the Guardian.  The evidence is clear and overwhelming and is in the process of being prepared for publication in a science-based refereed Journal that has now passed successfully through the refereeing process and is in the final stages of revisions.
Nonetheless, all of the evidence has already been discussed in articles that I have circulated on the web and are available to anybody who sends me an email and asks for them.  Nothing in these articles was found to be in error during the refereeing process.
Best regards, Ted Postol
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