The Thucydides Trap: Are the U.S. and China Headed for War?

In 12 of 16 past cases in which a rising power has confronted a ruling power, the result has been bloodshed.
The Atlantic | September 24, 2015  |  http://www.theatlantic.com/international/archive/2015/09/united-states-china-war-thucydides-trap/406756/

• Graham Allison

When Barack Obama meets this week with Xi Jinping during the Chinese president’s first state visit to America, one item probably won’t be on their agenda: the possibility that the United States and China could find themselves at war in the next decade. In policy circles, this appears as unlikely as it would be unwise.  http://www.theatlantic.com/international/archive/2015/09/united-states-china-war-thucydides-trap/406756/