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As terrible as it sounds, Kyiv’s endless dysfunction is the Kremlin’s most powerful ally in the current crisis—a point that is glossed over in Western policy debates on sending lethal aid to Ukraine.
The hope of Western foreign policy hawks is that the Putin regime will fall before Ukraine has a chance to descend into utter political and economic chaos. But as George Soros pointed out in Munich, Ukraine is already on the verge of collapse. Unless Western policymakers take the country’s internal fragility into account when discussing ways to help Kyiv achieve its goals, the promises of last year’s Maidan revolution may be snuffed out, potentially in a matter of months.
What I encountered in Kyiv a few days ago was sadly familiar for someone
who has spent a significant segment of their life there. The population
is mired in depression and fear. Mistrust in Ukraine’s government
and top leaders is mounting. While no one misses the disgraced former
President Yanukovych or wants to submit to the will of Putin’s Russia,
the risk of further domestic political turmoil grows by the day.
http://carnegie.ru/eurasiaoutlook/?fa=59040&mkt_tok=3RkMMJWWfF9wsRolvK%2FJZKXonjHpfsX57uQsW6Sg38431UFwdcjKPmjr1YAGTsR0aPyQAgobGp5I5FEIQ7XYTLB2t60MWA%3D%3D
The hope of Western foreign policy hawks is that the Putin regime will fall before Ukraine has a chance to descend into utter political and economic chaos. But as George Soros pointed out in Munich, Ukraine is already on the verge of collapse. Unless Western policymakers take the country’s internal fragility into account when discussing ways to help Kyiv achieve its goals, the promises of last year’s Maidan revolution may be snuffed out, potentially in a matter of months.
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