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Friday, March 29, 2013

WPR Articles 23 Mar 2013 - 29 Mar 2013




WPR Articles 23 Mar 2013 - 29 Mar 2013

BRICS Pose No Challenge to Global Order

By: Daniel M. Kliman | Briefing
On March 26, the leaders of Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa will meet for the BRICS grouping’s fifth summit. This collection of non-Western powers has cast itself as a new force in world affairs and a potential alternative to the global order supported by the West. In reality, though, BRICS is less than the sum of its parts, and the real danger to today’s international order lies elsewhere.

Flawed Peace Process Leads to Greater Unrest in the Central African Republic

By: Lesley Anne Warner | Briefing
Over the weekend, the Séléka rebel alliance seized the capital of the Central African Republic, the latest development in a rebellion that reignited in December 2012 over President François Bozizé’s failure to implement the terms of previous peace agreements. With Séléka in control, any negotiated political transition will now require a strong international guarantor if it is to avoid the fate of previous deals.

Strategic Horizons: Iraq Today is Afghanistan Tomorrow

By: Steven Metz | Column
As the lesson fest from the 10th anniversary of the U.S. invasion of Iraq subsides, attention is shifting to Iraq's current security predicament and its relationship with the United States. Unfortunately, it is not a pretty picture. This matters because Iraq itself matters. But it also offers a window into the future. If everything goes exactly right, Afghanistan tomorrow may look much like Iraq today.

Religious Violence Shows How Far Myanmar Still Has to Go

By: Catherine Cheney | Trend Lines
Last week, violence between Buddhists and Muslims broke out in Meiktila town in central Myanmar, escalating rapidly and killing at least 32 people, according to the state news media. It took several days for the military to restore calm.

The Realist Prism: Closing the Window of Opportunity for Iran Diplomacy

By: Nikolas Gvosdev | Column
While American policymakers often say that "all options are on the table" when it comes to dealing with Iran and its nuclear program, the president publicly took one option off the table during his recent visit to Israel: containment. If the U.S. has indeed definitively rejected containment as an option, Washington might be unable to take advantage of a potential window of opportunity for a deal with Iran.

Diplomatic Fallout: For U.N. and Europe, a Peacekeeping Crisis in Lebanon

By: Richard Gowan | Column
Since the United Nations Interim Force in Lebanon (UNIFIL) was launched in March 1978, its history has been punctuated by crises. The mission was heavily reinforced in August 2006 after the inconclusive war between Israel and Hezbollah, and it still totals roughly 11,000 blue helmets. But UNIFIL is currently facing potentially more-serious crises as the civil war in Syria threatens to destabilize Lebanon.

Global Insider: Malawi’s Banda Has Tenuous Hold on Leadership

By: The Editors | Trend Lines
In an email interview, Danielle Resnick, a political scientist at United Nations University specializing in the political economy of development and sub-Saharan Africa, described Malawi’s political landscape and President Joyce Banda’s presidency to date.

Global Insider: Jordan’s Nuclear Energy Program Faces Numerous Hurdles

By: The Editors | Trend Lines
In an email interview, Steve Thomas, director of research at University of Greenwich Business School and an expert on the economics and policy of nuclear power, explained the significant obstacles to Jordan’s development of nuclear energy.

Global Insights: China-Russia Partnership Heats Up

By: Richard Weitz | Column
This weekend’s visit by Chinese President Xi Jinping to Moscow resulted in no major agreements. Yet expectations were low for the summit, so the lack of headline deals came as little surprise. More surprising, however, was the extent to which Xi aligned Beijing’s foreign policy views with those of Russia in his public statements while in Moscow -- a warning to Washington that should not be overlooked.

ALBA-Backed Proposals for IACHR Reform Could Undermine the System

By: Mari Hayman | Briefing
Last Friday’s Organization of American States (OAS) General Assembly session showcased a push led by Venezuela, Ecuador, Nicaragua and Bolivia to reform the Inter-American human rights system, which they argue is biased in the service of U.S. interests. But their proposed reforms may serve at best to direct attention away from their own human rights records, and at worst to cripple the system altogether.

Global Insider: Yemen’s Hadi in No Position to Confront Tribal Politics

By: The Editors | Trend Lines
In an email interview, Khaled Fattah, a guest lecturer at the Center for Middle Eastern Studies at Lund University in Sweden and an expert on Yemen’s state-tribe relations, explained the enduring dynamics of Yemen’s tribal politics and how they are likely to influence the course of the country’s transition.

Mikati’s Resignation an Appeal to Electoral Base in a Politically Paralyzed Lebanon

By: Catherine Cheney | Trend Lines
On Friday, Lebanese Prime Minister Najib Mikati announced that his government would resign because of a dispute with Hezbollah, the Shiite party that dominates the Lebanese cabinet.

Mali Conflict Reopens Debate on Detention of Terrorist Suspects

By: Jonathan Hafetz | Briefing
Amid continuing international armed conflict with nonstate actors, including the recent French intervention in Mali, questions about the treatment of terrorism suspects arrested during military operations remain unresolved. The U.S. approach has made it easier to hold terrorism suspects without the burdens of a criminal trial but has also created the problem of prolonged, open-ended imprisonment.

World Citizen: Can Jordan Find a Way to Peaceful, Successful Reform?

By: Frida Ghitis | Column
Two years after the start of the Arab Spring, Jordan’s King Abdullah II has launched what he says is a third way. His approach, the king maintains, will bring peaceful democratic change, empowering the people and modernizing the country, while averting chaos and preventing extremist parties from emerging victorious. It’s a tall order, and one that has met with doubt among many skeptics and critics.

Global Insider: India Showed Global Maturity in Italy Marines Dispute

By: The Editors | Trend Lines
In an email interview, Joel Sandhu, an expert on India-EU relations at the Global Public Policy Institute, explained how the recent dispute between India and Italy over two Italian marines accused of killing two Indian fishermen they claim to have mistaken for pirates fits into India’s relations with Italy and the EU more broadly.

Obama’s Missile Defense Maneuver Likely to be Counterproductive

By: Andrew Futter | Briefing
On March 15, the Obama administration announced a shift in U.S. ballistic missile defense plans to emphasize greater defense of the homeland rather than overseas, regional defense. While the political symbolism of this switch may be positive, the strategic and military consequences may well be counterproductive, making the move look more like short-term politicking than a new approach to strategic thinking.
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