The Iran Deal Worked
Here's How to Make It Even More Effective
By Trita Parsi
A year has passed since diplomats from Iran and the
P5+1 (China, France, Russia, the United Kingdom, and the United States;
plus Germany) defied conventional wisdom and struck a deal aimed at
both preventing Iran from getting the bomb and preventing it from
getting bombed. At the time, the deal’s detractors were apoplectic;
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu called it a “historic mistake” that would pave the way for Iran to obtain a bomb.
But the world has not come to an end. Iran is not the hegemon of the
Middle East, Israel can still be found on the map, and Washington and
Tehran still define each other as enemies. These days, voices such as
Jonathan Greenblatt of the Anti-Defamation League, criticize the deal
for having changed too little.But a closer examination shows that it has had a profound impact on the region’s geopolitical dynamics. Only four years ago, the Iranian nuclear program was consistently referred to as the United States’ number one national security threat. Senior U.S. officials put the risk of an Israeli attack on Iran at 50–50, a confrontation that the United States would quickly get dragged into. A war that was even more destabilizing than the Iraq invasion was not just a possibility; it seemed likely.
Today, however, the talk of war is gone. Even the hawkish government of Netanyahu has gone silent on the matter. Former Defense Minister Moshe Yaalon, a hawk in his own right, announced a few weeks ago that “at this point, and in the foreseeable future, there is no existential threat facing Israel. Thus it is fitting that the leadership of the country stop scaring the citizenry and stop giving them the feeling that we are standing before a second Holocaust.”
By Trita Parsi
A year has passed since diplomats from Iran and the
P5+1 (China, France, Russia, the United Kingdom, and the United States;
plus Germany) defied conventional wisdom and struck a deal aimed at
both preventing Iran from getting the bomb and preventing it from
getting bombed. At the time, the deal’s detractors were apoplectic;
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu called it a “historic mistake” that would pave the way for Iran to obtain a bomb.
But the world has not come to an end. Iran is not the hegemon of the
Middle East, Israel can still be found on the map, and Washington and
Tehran still define each other as enemies. These days, voices such as
Jonathan Greenblatt of the Anti-Defamation League, criticize the deal
for having changed too little.But a closer examination shows that it has had a profound impact on the region’s geopolitical dynamics. Only four years ago, the Iranian nuclear program was consistently referred to as the United States’ number one national security threat. Senior U.S. officials put the risk of an Israeli attack on Iran at 50–50, a confrontation that the United States would quickly get dragged into. A war that was even more destabilizing than the Iraq invasion was not just a possibility; it seemed likely.
Today, however, the talk of war is gone. Even the hawkish government of Netanyahu has gone silent on the matter. Former Defense Minister Moshe Yaalon, a hawk in his own right, announced a few weeks ago that “at this point, and in the foreseeable future, there is no existential threat facing Israel. Thus it is fitting that the leadership of the country stop scaring the citizenry and stop giving them the feeling that we are standing before a second Holocaust.”https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/iran/2016-07-11/iran-deal-worked
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