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Summary: IS no longer expanding territorially, but continues to make agile use of propaganda. Some counter-propaganda. What to do with returning fighters.
In a recent Stratfor report George Friedman comments that "Ideologically, there is little difference between the Islamic State and other radical Islamic jihadist movements, but … While al Qaeda might have longed to take control of a significant nation-state, it primarily remained a sparse, if widespread, terrorist organisation… it was a movement, and not a place; but the Islamic State, as its name suggests, is different. It sees itself as the kernel from which a transnational Islamic state should grow, and it has established itself in Syria and Iraq as a geographical entity… and it has something of a conventional military which is designed to defend and to expand the state’s control. At this stage it is unclear whether or not the Islamic State can survive… It is also unclear whether the group can expand. [It] appears to have reached its limits in Kurdistan, and the Iraqi army, which was badly defeated in the first stage of the Islamic State's emergence, is showing some signs of being able to launch counter-offensives."http://us7.campaign-archive2.com/?u=2820afb1fbae0c99e88fb6f52&id=cf14acb5c1&e=672f0b89c4
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