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Friday, August 29, 2014

CFR Daily News Brief 8/29 Russia Role in Ukraine Stirs New Alarm

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Council on Foreign Relations Daily News Brief
August 29, 2014

Top of the Agenda

Russia Role in Ukraine Stirs New Alarm
Editor's Note: There will be no Daily Brief sent on Monday, September 1. The DB will resume on Tuesday, September 2.
Pro-Russian rebels fighting in eastern Ukraine said they would comply with a Kremlin request that they open a "humanitarian corridor" to allow the withdrawal of Ukrainian troops (Reuters), a day after Kiev accused Moscow of illegally entering the country. NATO, which convened an emergency meeting (FT) on Friday to address the worsening crisis, blamed Russia for violating Ukraine's sovereignty and engaging in direct military operations to support the rebels (BBC). At a press conference in Washington, U.S. president Barack Obama accused Russia of training, arming, and sending troops into Ukraine, warning Moscow that it faced further isolation (Guardian).

Analysis

"For the first time in a quarter century, NATO members—notably the Baltic States—have legitimate cause to fear for their security. But in fact, the ongoing Ukraine crisis has highlighted NATO's fissures. Rather than rejuvenating the transatlantic alliance, Russia's aggression threatens to underscore NATO's divisions and vulnerabilities," write CFR's Stewart Patrick and Daniel Chardell.
"For some of NATO's most senior military strategists and for many of the most important figures in international affairs the post cold war world is at an inflection point: a common orthodoxy in Western thought – the notion of a globalising world in which greater prosperity was ultimately analogous to stability – has been again thrown into contention," writes Sam Jones for the Financial Times.
"NATO could probably have provided more robust support for the Ukrainian military. The theory is deterrence: if Putin believes that the Ukrainian military is more capable than it is, he might think twice about doing something more adventurous," says CFR's Janine Davidson in a CFR interview.

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