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Friday, November 22, 2013

WPR Articles 18 Nov 2013 - 22 Nov 2013


WPR Articles 18 Nov 2013 - 22 Nov 2013

Hollande's Israel Visit Smoothed by France's Iran Stance

By: Bruno Tertrais | Briefing
French President Francois Hollande arrived yesterday in Israel, where he was greeted with the red carpet treatment. The obvious reason is France’s hard-line stance on the Iranian nuclear issue. But Paris’ firmness is not driven by a desire to curry favor in Israel or the Persian Gulf, and French-Israeli relations should not be reduced to the recent tactical convergence of their attitudes toward Tehran.

Global Insights: Nuclear Displays Show That China Has Learned to Love the Bomb

By: Richard Weitz | Column
China has been unabashedly showing off its nuclear weapons this past month. One can debate whether this selective transparency is meant as a warning to outside observers, a message for internal audiences or for some other purpose. In any case, the U.S. should continue to push for sustained and more comprehensive strategic dialogue with China that encompasses doctrinal issues as well as technical capabilities.

Maldives Election Leaves Doubts About Democratic Transition

By: Vishal Arora | Briefing
The Maldives’ presidential election has been completed and its result accepted by all sides. But the outcome has not allayed concerns over the nation’s democratic transition. The new president, Yaamin Abdul Gayoom, is the half-brother of former authoritarian ruler Maumoon Abdul Gayoom. Yaamin’s victory may cement Gayoom’s influence and push the Maldives closer to China at the expense of India and the West.

Budget Cuts Not Limiting U.S. Military's Disaster Response, For Now

By: Eric Auner | Trend Lines
The United States quickly acted to help its ally the Philippines recover from one of the largest typhoons on record, but some senior lawmakers and military officials worry that in the age of sequestration U.S. capabilities to carry out such operations in the future may deteriorate.

The Realist Prism: Will Congress Handcuff Obama on Iran, TPP Talks?

By: Nikolas Gvosdev | Column
For many in Washington, last month’s two-week shutdown of the federal government is already ancient history. But the aftershocks of the shutdown continue to reverberate around the world. In particular, there is concern that President Barack Obama will have difficulty getting Congress to give his administration the flexibility it will need to conduct delicate negotiations, both with foes as well as with friends.

Diplomatic Fallout: Despite Setbacks, Liberal Internationalism Is Not Dead Yet

By: Richard Gowan | Column
Western diplomats and human rights activists faced mounting challenges at the U.N. Human Rights Council and in the Security Council last week. To some, these developments are symptomatic of a slow erosion of Western influence and liberal principles in multilateral affairs. But if the future of liberal internationalism at times looks bleak, its decline has proved neither straightforward nor precipitous.

21st-Century Diplomacies: The State Department's Identity Crisis

By: Heather Hurlburt | Feature
The practice of American diplomacy urgently needs modernizing, as developments in the 21st century have not so much outstripped it as taken away its monopolies. But the profound domestic divisions in how Americans regard government, and how we understand our place in the world, have erected obstacles that are significant and may be insurmountable. One thing is certain: The diplomacy the United States needs will not, in fact, look like the State Department-centered operation of the past.

As Colombia’s Peace Talks Progress, Disagreements With U.S. May Be Around the Corner

By: Eric Auner | Trend Lines
Representatives of the Colombian government and the FARC guerilla group announced on Nov. 6 in Havana that they had reached an agreement that could allow FARC leaders to participate in Colombian politics. The precise details of the agreement have not been disclosed, and the two sides have agreed that it would not go into effect until a final peace settlement has been reached.

Backseat Driving: The Role of Congress in American Diplomacy

By: James M. Lindsay | Feature
Diplomacy in the American political system is frequently described as the exclusive province of presidents. But while Congress takes a back seat when it comes to diplomacy, it nonetheless can still have a say over the diplomatic road the U.S. travels. Whether congressional efforts to shape American diplomacy serve U.S. interests lies in the eye of the beholder. Where some people see short-sighted efforts to hamstring a president, others see courageous attempts to prevent the White House from blundering.

The Crucible: Iraq, Afghanistan and the Future of USAID

By: John Norris | Feature
By Sept. 10, 2001, the U.S. Agency for International Development was increasingly slouching toward irrelevance. Once famous for its ability to directly implement development programs, USAID was forced to shed expertise in some of its core competencies. But things at USAID, as in so many aspects of American life, changed dramatically after Sept. 11, 2001. For USAID, the driver of that change was the U.S. military invasions of Afghanistan and Iraq and the massive reconstruction efforts that followed.

Turkey’s Nuclear Plans With Japan, Russia May Prove Too Ambitious

By: Jessica C. Varnum | Briefing
Turkish Prime Minister Erdogan plans to build an extensive nuclear power program, virtually overnight, in a country that currently has no nuclear power plants. Ankara, which hopes to have eight nuclear reactors online by 2023, has good reason to consider nuclear power. But its history of aborted nuclear power projects and failure to learn from past mistakes mean that Turkey’s reach likely exceeds its grasp.

After Presidential Election, Honduras Will Need U.S. Support to Tackle Challenges

By: Eric Farnsworth | Briefing
Hondurans will vote on Nov. 24 in a presidential election that polls suggest is too close to call. The U.S. interests at stake have less to do with the individual elected than with the legitimacy of the election itself and how the new president, once in office, chooses to govern. The issues Honduras faces have no easy solutions, but Washington can take steps to support Hondurans over the long term.

Global Insider: Bangkok Protests Show Continued Deep Divisions in Thai Society

By: The Editors | Trend Lines
In an email interview, Duncan McCargo, professor of Southeast Asian politics at University of Leeds, explained what’s driving Thailand’s recent protests and their likely effects on Thai politics.

Strategic Horizons: U.S.-Israel Divergence Goes Beyond Obama, Netanyahu

By: Steven Metz | Column
Today the U.S.-Israeli relationship, long a bedrock alliance for both nations, is rancorous and tense. More than just a clash of personalities at the top, the divergence between the two allies reflects deep changes in the way the U.S. sees its role in the world and a mounting sensitivity to the costs of national security. Because of this, the split between the United States and Israel is likely to grow.

Israel Rapprochement Reflects Georgia’s Continued Relevance to West

By: Michael Cecire | Briefing
Many Western policymakers have nudged Georgia to the backburner recently as its pro-West alignment appears increasingly institutionalized. However, the recent contest between Israel and Iran for Tbilisi’s affections demonstrates that Georgia remains a geostrategic front line. More broadly, and contrary to some assessments, the South Caucasus is liable to increase in importance in the coming years.

World Citizen: In Post-Chavez Venezuela, a Dystopian Drama Unfolds

By: Frida Ghitis | Column
Fans of the television drama “Homeland” might have been surprised when in a recent episode one of the protagonists surfaced in Venezuela as a guest/prisoner of a sinister gang living in a crowded and half-built Caracas high-rise. The espionage show normally focuses on Middle East terrorists and the CIA agents chasing them. But Venezuela’s strife and the sheer strangeness it produces proved hard to resist.

Legislative Elections Could Signal Mali's Return to Politics as Usual

By: Peter Tinti | Briefing
Voters in Mali will go to the polls this weekend for legislative elections that may offer insight into the country’s uncertain political trajectory. Mali descended into chaos last year, when a coup d’etat in the country’s south paved the way for Islamist militants linked to al-Qaida to take over the north. The polls may show if Mali is actually on a viable path to stability, or rushing headlong back toward chaos.
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