High Noon for the Israel Lobby
At this writing, it is Friday night in Geneva, and there are
press rumors that Iran and the P5+1 have overcome most but not all of
the remaining major sticking points in negotiating a preliminary deal.
According to latest reports, Secretary of State Kerry may be Geneva
bound, which he wouldn’t be if the negotiations weren’t on the cusp. So
let’s assume a preliminary deal is achieved: Iran will get some very
minimal sanctions relief in return for essentially freezing its nuclear
program for several months while a more substantive deal is negotiated.
Presumably the parties will have found a way to split the difference, in
some diplomatically ambiguous way, on Iran’s “right” to enrich uranium.
In any case, any deal will acknowledge that Iran has the capacity to
enrich uranium to non-weapons levels and will continue to do so, albeit
under strict supervision and inspection. I believe such a deal would be
in the interest of the United States and all oil consumers, because
otherwise Iran is on track to develop a bomb fairly quickly if it wants,
and no one really thinks that a war to stop that would solve the
problem in any constructive way. It is in Israel’s interest too, an
opinion Israeli military intelligence services
have been leaking (contradicting the alarmist rhetoric of the Netanyahu government.)
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