HRH Prince
Turki Al Faisal
Chairman
King Faisal Center for
Research & Islamic Studies
22
October 2013
22nd
Annual Arab-U.S. Policymakers Conference
Washington,
D.C.
Dr. Anthony, Ladies and Gentlemen,
Before I get into particulars, let me say that Saudi Arabia,
with its stability and influence plays an important regional and international
role. Working diligently to address many of its major international and
domestic concerns, the Kingdom is a confident participant in world affairs and
keeps an ever-vigilant eye toward its own internal safeguarding.
Why is the Kingdom confident? For a number of reasons. Saudi
Arabia is the cradle of Islam, a religion that has today an estimated 1.2
billion adherents. Saudi Arabia represents over 20% of the combined GDP of the
Middle East-North Africa (MENA) region (and an estimated quarter of the Arab
World’s GDP according to the latest IMF numbers) making it the economic engine
of the region and an effective partner and member of the G20. The Saudi stock market
represents over 50% of the entire stock market capitalization of the MENA
region and the listed Saudi companies make up 5 of the top 10 companies in the
region with the top two slots being the Saudi conglomerates, Aramco and Sabic.
The Saudi Arabian Monetary Agency (SAMA), the Kingdom’s central bank, is the
world’s third largest holder of foreign exchange reserves managing just about
$850 billion and holdings of 500 billion dollars are in private hands. Last but
not least, Saudi Aramco, the Kingdom’s national oil company, is the world’s
largest producer and exporter of petroleum and has by far the world’s largest
sustained production capacity infrastructure at about 12.5 million
barrels-per-day and also has the world’s largest spare capacity currently estimated
at about 2.5 million barrels-per-day or about 70% of global unused capacity.
Along with these impressive numbers, our nation is a peninsula,
not an island. A look at our neighbors reveals significant challenges that fall
under the rubric of my over-riding theme – change and no change. The unchanging
factors are history and geography. Whatever occurred yesterday is unchangeable
today and forever. The geographic location of Saudi Arabia is equally
unchanging. Our neighbors are permanently situated by our side. We have to deal
with them as they have to deal with us.
On the side of change, our overall goal vis-a-vis other nations
is to strengthen our allies in the region and beyond and to assist in whatever
way we can to help our neighbors maintain stability. Saudi Arabia firmly
believes that peace in the region, and a conclusion to various longstanding,
conflict-resolution efforts must be a primary objective of the next decade.
This peace will only be achieved through cooperation that is built on trust,
dialogue and engagement. This is why Saudi Arabia will continue to take the
lead in negotiating between and with conflicting parties and nations.
Furthermore, the Kingdom firmly believes that the next decade’s most vital
security issue is progress. There must be economic, political, and social
progress for the people and of the governments of the Middle East so that
peace, not conflict, is clearly seen as the gateway to prosperity.
The first issue, without preference to any prioritizing, is
Iran. Since the Iranian revolution, the leadership, there, has assumed a
pugilist’s stance towards the world community, and we assume an embracing
stance. While, Saudi Arabia has the world's greatest petroleum reserves, Iran
has the second. Saudi Arabia is Custodian of the Two Holy Mosques and the
birthplace of Islam, and as such it is the eminent leader of the wider Muslim
world. Iran portrays itself as the leader of not just the minority Shiite
world, but of all Muslim revolutionaries interested in standing up to the West.
In addition to these differences, Saudi Arabia has two other
concerns about Iran. First, it is in our interest that the Iranian leadership
does not develop a nuclear weapon, for their doing so will make nuclear arms
proliferation, in the Middle East, the norm. I have suggested that the Gulf
Cooperation Council members should carefully weigh all options, including
acquiring a nuclear deterrent, if the Iranian leadership succeed in building a
nuclear weapon. This is why, through various initiatives, we are sending
messages to them that it is their right, as it is any nation’s right, and as we
ourselves are doing, to develop a civilian nuclear program, but that trying to
parlay that program into nuclear weapons is a dead end, and that wiser choices
will result in wider riches. A Zone Free of Weapons of Mass Destruction is the
best means to get Iran and Israel to give up nuclear weapons. Such a Zone must
be accompanied by a rewards regime that provides economic and technical support
for countries that join; plus a nuclear security umbrella guaranteed by the
permanent members of the Security Council. It should include a sanctions regime
that puts economic and political sanctions on countries that don't join; plus
military sanctions against those countries that try to develop weapons of mass
destruction, also guaranteed by the permanent members of the Security Council.
Sanctions, alone, are not deterring the Iranian leadership from
reaching their goal. I also heartily agree with those in the international
community who possess the blessed wisdom to know that unilateral military
strikes would be catastrophic. Alas, with Netanyahu observing Mr. Obama’s
lamentable conduct in Syria, he may opt for a unilateral strike; in spite of
the dire consequences. The Iranian leadership will welcome such a strike and
may provoke it. After Rouhani’s sweet talk and Obama’s open arms approach to
him, the Iranian people will certainly rally behind their leadership.
The other concern we need to address in the coming decade is the
Iranian leadership’s meddling and destabilizing efforts in the countries with
Shia majorities, Iraq and Bahrain, as well as those countries with significant
minority Shia communities, such as Kuwait, Lebanon and Yemen and it still
occupies the three Emirati islands in the Gulf and refuses to talk about them. Their
invasion of Syria is underway, and growing. This must end. Saudi Arabia will
oppose any and all of Iran’s interference and meddling in other countries
because it is Saudi Arabia’s position that Iran has no right to meddle in other
nations’ internal affairs, especially Arab states. Indeed, Iran takes this
position as well - it is very sensitive about other countries meddling in its
affairs. The Kingdom expects Iran to practice what it preaches. King Abdallah
welcomed the election of President Rouhani and expressed his best wishes for
Rouhani’s term as President of Iran. Any measure to free Iran from the clutches
of extremists in Khameni’s entourage and the revolutionary guard will bring
stability to our region. We, Saudis, observe President Obama’s efforts in this
regard. The road ahead is arduous. Whether Rouhani will succeed in steering
Iran towards sensible policies is already contested in Iran. The forces of darkness
in Qum and Tehran are well entrenched. Khomeini’s expansionist ambition and
legacy challenge the well-meaning words of Rouhani. We still have to see
Rouhani’s ability to implement his words or fail to do so, as Khatemi and
Rafsanjani, before him, witnessed the dashing of their sweet rhetoric on the
rock of Khamen’i. We are prepared for either eventuality.
One cannot discuss Iran without also mentioning Iraq. Iraq has a
great history as a pivotal member of the Arab community. It has been, and it
can still be, an important force in the Arab world. It is a founding member of
the Arab League, the United Nations, and OPEC, possessing vast natural resource
wealth, and may someday be a major player in the energy markets. It sits at the
heart of the Middle East and has a capable and diverse population. But much of
its potential is being crushed by Iranian interference. Be it preferable to us
or not, it is a new fact in the region that an Iraq that once waged a horridly
bloody war against Iran has now become a significant arena of growing Iranian influence,
thanks to the aftermath of the US invasion. There are people and groups in Iraq
that are, as much as they deny it, completely beholden to Iran, and that is not
only unacceptable, but it is bad for the future of an ethnically and
religiously diverse country. It is our goal that Iraq remains an active
participant of the Arab world and throws off these destructive foreign
influences.
This is the main reason we continue to maintain the same
distance from all Iraqi factions. However, let me point out that, because we
still have serious, deep-seated reservations about the formation of the current
Iraqi government, we are the only country not to have sent a resident
ambassador to Iraq. What is the cause of these reservations? Let me give you
one example. In the weeks preceding the formation of the current Iraqi
government, there was a certain Iranian general who was in Baghdad negotiating
on behalf of the current Iraqi Prime Minister with the Shia and Kurdish groups,
seeking their support for the new mandate. These are the kinds of actions that
are not missed by Saudi Arabia; we cannot agree with them, and we will do
everything in our power to make them end. In short, it is the Kingdom’s full
intention to continue to work with the people of Iraq to assure that their
country becomes a stable, positive, and independent member of the Arab world.
I will now briefly address the current situation with one of
Saudi Arabia’s closest neighbours, Yemen. For the Kingdom, and, indeed, the
rest of the world, an increasingly unstable Yemen represents a very real
security threat due to the potential for terror cells to take root there. This
rough, rugged southwest corner of the Arabian peninsula, with a population of
over 20 million, has been an arena for Al Qaeda operations since Osama bin
Laden established training camps there in the 1990’s, and according to
intelligence sources, Al Qaeda’s influence is disquieting in the country. This
is largely due to the fact that the Yemeni central government’s authority in
the mountainous areas outside the capital and other cities is not up to par.
Extremists have reportedly made deals with local tribal leaders for supplies
and protection, creating a sanctuary not unlike Pakistan’s Tribal Areas.
What are our plans for the coming decade vis-a-vis this volatile
situation? We have, in essence, a tri-partite approach. The Kingdom has had a
decades long program of economic and financial support for the Yemeni people.
It is now on hold until the country settles down. We are strengthening our borders
to prevent Yemeni refugees and Al Qaeda terrorists from crossing into our
country while also increasing our counter-intelligence efforts to attempt to
pinpoint and destroy Al Qaeda operatives in Yemen. Our work with the world
community to eliminate the terrorist threat continues.
Let us now turn to the Kingdom’s approach to the volatile and
important nations of Lebanon and Syria. Due to the raging civil war next door
in Syria, Lebanon is very much on the brink of its own civil war, as Hizbollah
continues to push its agenda regardless of law and order. With the collapse of
the Mikati government, we see to what extremes Hizbollah is willing to go,
literally risking the very foundations of the nation, to prevent the Assad
regime from being overthrown and stopping any scrutiny of an international
tribunal whose only goal is bringing fair justice upon those who perpetrated
the series of horrible assassinations. Hizbollah’s reckless interference in
Syria is further destabilizing Lebanon; witness the recent car bombs in the
Hizbollah neighborhood of Beirut and in Tripoli. Saudi Arabia believes that law and order must
prevail in Lebanon and supports all efforts to neutralize Hizbollah’s
intervention in Syria and bring their leaders to justice for the assassination
of the former Lebanese Prime Minister Rafik Hariri.
The Kingdom is providing financial aid to Lebanon. This is a
serious effort to rebuild a stronger, more stable Lebanon, and an attempt to
roll back the influence of Iran’s leadership. We have for years pushed for the
disarming of Tehran-backed Hizbollah and supported the government with nearly
$1 billion in financial support and credit for weapons purchases for the
Lebanese Army, and we will continue to do so in the coming decade.
In Syria, the past two and a half years have proven absolutely
disastrous. Gut-wrenching images of unspeakable, indiscriminate violence
against civilians in Syria have shocked the world. By the latest United Nations
estimates, over 100,000 Syrians, including many children, have lost their lives
as a result of the Assad regime’s criminal behavior. There are, now, two
million Syrian refugees in bordering countries and more than four million
displaced persons inside Syria. Whether through the murder of peaceful
protesters, the shelling of residential quarters, the execution of soldiers who
refuse to open fire on their countrymen, or the use of chemical weapons, a
picture has emerged of a regime systematically defying even the most basic
international moral and legal standards. Unless the world is content to see
these massacres continue, the Syrian regime, along with its instruments of
oppression, must be decisively removed from power. The shameful way that the
world community accepts the impunity of the butcher of Syria is a blot on the
conscience of the world. The dithering of leadership in the West and the
callous, cynical, and cavalier attitude in supporting Bashar by Russia and
China are a stigma that they will bear forever. The Iranian leadership’s
support for Assad, from the beginning, is a criminal act and they should be
tried in the International Criminal Court. The current charade of international
control over Bashar’s chemical arsenal would be funny if it were not so
blatantly perfidious, and designed not only to give Mr. Obama an opportunity to
back down, but also to help Assad to butcher his people. If you believe that Kerry’s remarks, giving
Russia the chance to make their play, was off-hand......then you will believe
anything. If the world, and especially the American people, believe that
removing Assad’s chemical weapons will end his slaughter of innocent children,
women, and men in Syria, then all semblance of rational
thought, humanitarian care, and national self-interest are thrown to the wind.
Preventing Assad from using his killing machine by any means, including
targeted strikes at his air force and command and control centers, is the only
way that a politically negotiated end to the carnage in Syria can be achieved.
You delay that now, and you will have to do more when the carnage spreads to
Lebanon, Israel, Jordan, Turkey, and Iraq. Alas, General Dempsey has announced
that the Pentagon has no plans to supply the Syrian opposition with weapons.
This comes after the promise to do so was publically stated by Secretary Kerry
and after Mr. Obama declared that Assad must go. And why make such a statement?
When it can only bring comfort and solace to the criminal and chagrin and
despair to the victim. How can one reconcile such contradictions is beyond me.
Ladies and Gentlemen,
Egypt holds a special place in Saudi security interests. It is
the largest Arab country with close and historically deep and significant ties
to the Kingdom. King Abdullah held the closest of relations with President
Mubarak for over thirty years. Abandoning him or any close ally during a
revolutionary uprising was not and will never be a policy option for the
Kingdom, which must uphold and defend its values. However, once President
Mubarak resigned and the Egyptian people expressed their will, King Abdullah
not only recognized the new reality, but he also extended the hand of
friendship and four billion dollars in financial aid to the new leadership. But
this new leadership, entirely beholden to the Muslim Brotherhood, proved
unable, incapable and incompetent to govern a country such as Egypt. After
barely a year in power, the majority of the Egyptian people withdrew support
from them and demanded a referendum on the viability of the President’s
legitimacy. When he refused, they turned to the streets in the largest ever
human demonstrations, anywhere. These millions asked the armed forces to
restore legitimacy and dignity and they did. They transferred power to a newly
appointed temporary civilian government to save the Egyptian state from
disaster. The Egyptian government has issued a four month roadmap to return to
normalcy, including a constitution, parliamentary and presidential elections,
and the inclusion of all political parties in the process. King Abdullah was
the first leader to congratulate the Egyptian leadership and has led the
regional push to support this action. Saudi Arabia unconditionally authorized
$5 billion dollars in grants, loans, and deposits to Egypt's emerging
government, which stands in stark comparison to the conditional loans that the
US and Europe have promised and keep threatening to freeze.
Now to Bahrain. This nation is geographically and historically
the closest to Saudi Arabia. Right after the 1979 revolution in Iran, Khomeini
began trying to export his revolution to all Muslim countries. This resulted in
eruptions of violence not only in Muslim countries but also among Shia communities
in other countries. Those who claim that the recent disturbances were not
instigated by Iran forget that Khomeini’s creation, Hizbollah in Bahrain, still
exists and that Iranian propaganda broadcasts beamed at Bahrain have never
ceased. Iranian officials frequently issued statements that Bahrain is a
province of Iran. When King Hamad delegated his Crown Prince to negotiate with
the protesters on their demands, the Kingdom publicly endorsed the negotiations
and still does. The Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) has extended a ten-year
economic package of $10 billion dollars, mostly from the Kingdom. The
deployment of Saudi-supported GCC troops at the request of a member country of
the GCC to protect its strategic infrastructure like the oil refinery, the
airport, the seaport, and economic installations is a duty that the Kingdom
will always fulfill. No GCC personnel have been engaged in any action against
protesters. King Hamad has continued to call for negotiations and the Kingdom
continues to support that call. But let’s be clear, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia
will never accept that Iran take power in Bahrain. This is a fantasy if anyone,
including in the West, believes that such an eventuality can happen on Saudi
Arabia’s watch.
Of course, a full analysis of the Kingdom’s situation vis-a-vis
the region cannot be considered complete without discussing, what is perhaps
the most important issue, and that is the Israeli/Palestinian conflict. As we
have recently seen, Israel’s unwillingness to cease its unlawful colonization
and continual refusal to grant the Palestinians their own homeland is the core
reason that this conflict continues. There is no lack of proposals for peace,
many of them completely rational, fair, and viable. Indeed, the only viable one
today remains The Arab Peace Initiative, originally outlined by King Abdullah
in 2002. It was even recently used as the basis for President Obama’s call on
Israel to withdraw to its 1967 borders and the establishment of a viable and
contiguous Palestine bordering Israel, Jordan, and Egypt.
The Kingdom continues to urge Israel to take the necessary steps
toward peace and justice. It also continues to support the Palestinian
Authority in its attempts to build lasting institutions for its people, and it
remains, counter to recent accusations, the world’s largest contributor to the
Palestinian Authority. Pledges, ranging into the millions of dollars, have been
made to support the Palestinian Authority and the Kingdom has delivered
hundreds of millions of dollars in the past few years for rebuilding and
developing Palestine - money that is being spent on schools, roads and
security. Funding, engagement, and a call for a two-state solution remain the
centre pieces of the Saudi position in the coming decade. The Kerry effort to
bring an accord during the next nine months, while laudable, is still a shot in
the dark. If Mr. Obama dithers on what is needed to convince Netanyahu to reach
an accord, as he is doing on Syria, there will not be one.
And on the all-important issue of statehood, King Abdullah has
called upon the world community to support the establishment of a Palestinian
state.
As a matter of fact, one of the reasons that the Kingdom
declined a seat on the Security Council was in regard to the Council’s
treatment of the Palestinian people. The Kingdom’s stance has been met with
varying views; internally with overwhelming public support; all the member states
of the Organization of the Islamic Conference made up of 57 countries,
including all the Arab states and states from Africa, Asia and Europe have
expressed understanding and support. France and Turkey were equally
understanding. But here in the United States, the following words have been
used to describe the Kingdom’s move:
Petulant, scared, shaky, hand
wringing, foolish, shortsighted, angry. These are some of the words used to
describe the Kingdom's recent decision to decline membership in the Security
Council.
Let us look at the first
article of the UN Charter which states:
To maintain international peace and
security, and to that end: to take effective collective measures for the
prevention and removal of threats to the peace, and for the suppression of acts
of aggression or other breaches of the peace, and to bring about by peaceful
means, and in conformity with the principles of justice and international law,
adjustment or settlement of international disputes or situations which might
lead to a breach of the peace.
Article 24 of the chapter on
the Security Council states:
UN members confer on the SC primary
responsibility for the maintenance of international peace and security.
Article 39 states:
The SC
shall determine the existence of any threat to the peace, breach of the peace,
or act of aggression, and shall make recommendations or decide what measures
shall be taken to maintain international peace and security in accordance with
articles 41 and 42.
Article 41 states:
The SC
may decide what measures not involving the use of armed force are to be
employed to give effect to its decisions.
Article 42 states:
Should
the SC consider that measures provided for in article 41 would be inadequate or
have proved to be inadequate, it may take such action by air, sea, or land to
maintain or restore international peace and security.
Article 49 states:
The
members of the UN shall join in affording mutual assistance in carrying out the
measures decided upon by the SC.
Has the Security Council
fulfilled these obligations? Certainly not.
Ladies and Gentlemen,
petulant, scared etc., those who used the words to describe Saudi Arabia’s
declining the UN Security Council seat have not been listening to us.
Since 1947, the Kingdom has
sought to bring about the implementation of various resolutions passed by the
General Assembly or the SC, without success.
Resolutions 242 and 338 of
the SC are examples where the veto of one of the SC permanent members has
stymied their implementation, of General Assembly support for their
implementation. More recently, the vetoes of two members have quashed efforts
to stop the killing and bloodshed in Syria. Other examples of the SC failing to
do its job as stated in the articles of the UN Charter I mentioned before
abound.
The Kingdom's
Council of Ministers has, over the years, called upon the SC to do its job; but
to no avail. The Saudi Foreign Minister, in 2008, when Israel launched its
murderous assault on Gaza, called upon the SC to stop the attack and warned that
if it fails to do so then, and I quote: "We will turn our backs to
you".
There is nothing whimsical about the decision to
forego membership in the SC. It is a decision based on the ineffectual
experience of the body and the necessity of prodding all the members of the UN
to enact the reform that will allow for
the Palestinian people to shed the inhuman and immoral Israeli occupation of
their land, that will rid the ME of the lewd display of dancing around nuclear
proliferation by the P5+1 and Iran and removing the Syrian chemical weapons
while Israel continues to build up its nuclear, biological, and chemical
arsenals, and that will bring to a stop the butchering of the Syrian people by
a bloodthirsty president who is now enjoying the protection of the SC.
Let me conclude by reaffirming that Saudi Arabia has a vital
responsibility and role that goes beyond the Arab world. We are critical to the
well-being of the global economy. We see our work in that area as part of our
overall role in the broader Islamic world. We hope to increase our peaceful
foreign engagements with nations in the name of improving our common
humanitarian good, and also to foster a sense of Islam as a religion of
collaboration and progress. Through the King Abdallah Center for Cultural and
Religious Dialogue, now established in Vienna, Saudi Arabia extends the hand of
friendship to all peoples of the world.
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