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Friday, July 26, 2013

World Politics Review Articles: 22 Jul 2013 - 26 Jul 2013

World Politics Review

WPR Articles 22 Jul 2013 - 26 Jul 2013

Global Insider: Antarctic Marine Protection Process Still Healthy Despite Talks' Failure

By: The Editors | Trend Lines
In an email interview, Julia Jabour, leader of the Ocean and Antarctic Governance Research Program at the Institute for Marine and Antarctic Studies at the University of Tasmania, explained the process leading up to the talks and what the failure of talks means for Antarctic marine protection.

Peace in Colombia Requires Deal With ELN as Well as FARC

By: Adam Isacson | Briefing
Negotiators are making steady progress toward ending a conflict between Colombia's government and its largest leftist guerrilla group, the 49-year-old Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia (FARC). But the FARC are not Colombia's only leftist guerrilla group with a national presence. If the National Liberation Army (ELN) remains armed, a successful negotiation with the FARC would have far less impact.

Moscow Mayoral Elections a Test for Kremlin Political Strategy

By: Catherine Cheney | Trend Lines
Last week, Alexei Navalny, a Russian anti-corruption activist and blogger who gained a reputation as unofficial leader of the Russian opposition during protests against President Vladimir Putin, was freed on bail pending appeal of his five-year prison sentence on charges of embezzlement.

World Citizen: Hezbollah’s Costly Support for Syria’s Assad

By: Frida Ghitis | Column
When the European Union voted to add Hezbollah’s name to its list of terrorist organizations, it simultaneously added one more item to the growing list of costs the Lebanese group is incurring for its brazen intervention in Syria’s civil war. Jumping into the Syrian fray is taking a significant toll on Hezbollah. Still, Hezbollah calculates the risk would be even greater if it sat out the uprising.

The Realist Prism: India Visit Suggests Presidential Future for Biden

By: Nikolas Gvosdev | Column
While much of the world’s attention was focused on the birth of Britain’s Prince George, U.S. Vice President Joe Biden was visiting India, in an attempt to get the bilateral relationship between the world’s oldest and largest democracies back on track. Although no great breakthroughs occurred on Biden’s trip, each side did seek to reassure the other that its concerns and unmet expectations are being addressed.

Diplomatic Fallout: Celebrate the U.N.’s Successes, but Fear for Its Future

By: Richard Gowan | Column
Do articles about the U.N. really have to be relentlessly depressing? Over the past six months, this column has dwelt on such bleak topics as the Security Council’s failure to halt the Syrian crisis and the mounting dangers of U.N. peacekeeping in various trouble-spots. Yet despite the bad news, it is arguable that the U.N. has had a good year on many other fronts, and focusing solely on its problems is unfair.

A Delicate Balance: Consolidating Tunisia's Successes

By: Anthony Dworkin | Feature
Two and a half years after Tunisia launched the wave of uprisings that spread across the Arab world, the North African country still provides the best hope for the establishment of a sustainable democracy in the region. The transition in Tunisia has been fraught and at times precarious, and it continues to face a number of risks. These challenges are real, but they shouldn’t detract from the significance of what Tunisia is on track to achieve.

Against the Odds: The Black Swans of Libya’s Arab Spring

By: William Lawrence | Feature
In July 2012, amid the euphoria of historic elections, Libya’s future seemed brighter than ever, and the promise of its Arab Spring seemed closer at hand. But one year later, Libya’s transition continues to confound and dismay most observers. This is in part because insecurity and infighting have slowed the pace of the transition. But it is also due to the fact that we do not fully understand Libya’s specificities and therefore its trajectory.

For Japan’s Abe, Election Victory Is the Easy Part

By: Jeffrey W. Hornung | Briefing
Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe’s Liberal Democratic Party swept this past weekend’s House of Councillors elections. This is good news for Abe. With a majority already in the lower house, the LDP win provides Abe an opportunity to advance his political agenda. Yet Abe should not expect an easy road, due to the issues he has chosen to tackle and the consequences they may have on his standing in the party.

Global Insights: Russia-China Naval Drill Sends Mixed Signals

By: Richard Weitz | Column
In addition to their growing energy and renewed arms trade, another sign of the strengthening Russia-China relationship was their recently concluded bilateral naval exercise. The drills were larger and more sophisticated than those held last year. But they are still far from establishing a capacity for joint maritime combat operations, which does not appear a goal of either government in any case.

Managing Expectations: Yemen’s National Dialogue Conference

By: Stefan Wolff | Feature
Yemenis have high expectations of the country’s National Dialogue Conference. The conference, part of the Arab Spring’s only negotiated transition so far, is of great significance not only for Yemen, but also for the wider region and beyond. Making a success of it is vital for the continued existence of Yemen as a state—literally, by offering a credible alternative to Southern secessionists, and figuratively by avoiding a descent into civil war.

As Afghanistan War Draws Down, U.S. Interest in Central Asia Fades

By: Joshua Kucera | Briefing
In June, Kyrgyzstan’s president signed a law “annulling” the country's agreement with the U.S. to host an air base in his country. The significance of the law is unclear, and it could be a bargaining ploy to gain more favorable terms for a new agreement on the base. But the passage of the law has highlighted how U.S. interest in Central Asia is destined to diminish as the U.S. extracts itself from Afghanistan.

Strategic Horizons: To Build Future Military, U.S. First Needs Strategic Vision

By: Steven Metz | Column
The community of national security experts is consumed with debate on the appropriate size and configuration of the U.S. military. Seldom does a week pass without some new report, commission or conference offering advice on this complex topic. Such vigorous discussion is a good thing, but it may be focused on the wrong issue—ultimately the size of the armed forces matters less than what they are asked to do.

Global Insider: Ugandan Rebels’ Resurgence in DRC Possibly Tied to Deployment of U.N. Force

By: The Editors | Trend Lines
In an email interview, Kristof Titeca, senior research fellow at the University of Antwerp’s Institute of Development Policy and Management and the University of Ghent’s Conflict Research Group, described the ADF’s background and its recent resurgence.

Recurring Low-Intensity Disasters Test Disaster Preparedness Systems

By: Alain Guilloux | Briefing
Recent floods in northern India are a stark reminder of the extent of destruction wrought by natural disasters. Year after year we hear of the same hazards seemingly striking in the same places, be it floods, droughts or typhoons. Yet far from the media glare, localized and low-intensity recurrent disasters wear down the resilience of communities around the world through displacement and the loss of livelihoods.

India Seeks Multilateral Partnerships to Counter China in Indian Ocean Rim

By: Saurav Jha | Briefing
India’s trade relations in the Indian Ocean region have progressed chiefly along bilateral lines. But with China’s economic overtures increasingly frequent and backed by commercial heft, India finds that it can no longer take its geo-economic position in the region for granted. To counter China, India seems to be trying to establish a multilateral mechanism for trade and investment that China may have to join.
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