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Friday, November 30, 2012

CFR Update: Palestinians Win Upgrated UN Status

Daily News Brief
November 30, 2012

Top of the Agenda: Palestinians Win Upgraded UN Status
The UN General Assembly voted overwhelmingly (Haaretz) on Thursday to upgrade the Palestinian Authority's observer status to "non-member state" from "entity" in the face of opposition from the United States and Israel. U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton deemed the vote "unfortunate and counterproductive," while Israel's Ambassador to the UN affirmed that peace could only be achieved through bilateral negotiations. UN envoys said Israel may not retaliate harshly if Palestinians do not seek to join the International Criminal Court (Reuters), where they could accuse Israel of war crimes—a route Palestinian Foreign Minister Riyad al-Maliki warned could be taken if Israel continued to build illegal settlements.
Analysis
"The most intriguing result of Thursday's vote, perhaps, will be the effect on the long-delayed reconciliation talks between Fatah and Hamas. The latter has been remarkably positive about Abbas' bid, even holding a public rally today in Gaza to show support—a stark contrast to last year, when Hamas officials largely kept quiet and discouraged any public demonstrations," writes Gregg Carlstrom for Al Jazeera.
"The danger for the Israelis is that Abbas will feel impelled to pursue the legal route to regain political credibility. He is desperately trying to recover political face, after his marginalisation during the Gaza conflict at the expense of Hamas. Hamas themselves initially opposed the UN bid, but seem to have tempered their opposition today, in the face of widespread celebrations in the West Bank," writes Gideon Rachman for the Financial Times.
"Of course, if the Palestinians enter the legal battlefield, they, too, risk being accused and prosecuted in the venues where they'd try to target Israelis. There is no guarantee for either side that the ICC prosecutor would follow through on charges. The ICC has procedural obstacles that could head off any prosecution there," writes Joseph Schuman for Reuters.

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