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Wednesday, August 3, 2011

Congress Only Has Eleven Days In September To Pass A New Federal Budget from Clusterstock by Zeke Miller

Congress Only Has Eleven Days In September To Pass A New Federal Budget

from Clusterstock

Enormous Cuts in Military Spending? Read the Fine Print

Enormous Cuts in Military Spending? Read the Fine Print
by , August 03, 2011

‘Science’ and America’s Police State

‘Science’ and America’s Police State
Phony scientist rationalizes latest TSA outrage
by , August 03, 2011 
 
So, you’re sick and tired of being hassled by Transportation “Security” Administration (TSA) thugs, who fondle your “junk” and force 95-year-old grandmothers to take off their adult diapers?
Well, that’s tough – because it’s about to get worse.
 

Imperial Psychosis: We Pour Trillions into Empire While Gutting Programs Americans Depend On

Imperial Psychosis: We Pour Trillions into Empire While Gutting Programs Americans Depend On

For months Americans have been focused on raising that debt ceiling, as onscreen countdown clocks ticked away to disaster. Isn’t it time to lower America’s war ceiling?

How Recession Is Hastening the Wal-Martization of America

How Recession Is Hastening the Wal-Martization of America

A new report finds that the vast majority of the jobs created in the so-called recovery have been low-wage jobs. That's a recipe for continued economic pain.

The American Animal Farm By G. Murphy Donovan

The American Animal Farm

By G. Murphy Donovan

Political ideology in America has devolved to forms that would make Orwell cringe today: socialists (née Marxists) and democratic socialists (née Keynesians).  The former views government as an all-purpose solution and the latter views government as a "stimulator," a kind of economic and social Wizard of Oz.  The two are more alike than they are different.  The fatal flaw of both is the chronic inability of voters and their elected representatives to distinguish between wants and needs.  Elections are now confused with democracy, and the majority seldom votes for the common good -- or their own best interests. 

The Average Life Expectancy For A Fiat Currency Is 27 Years ... Every 30 To 40 Years The Reigning Monetary System Fails And Has To Be Retooled from Washington's Blog

The Average Life Expectancy For A Fiat Currency Is 27 Years ... Every 30 To 40 Years The Reigning Monetary System Fails And Has To Be Retooled

from Washington's Blog

The Super Congress: Taxation Without Representation from Washington's Blog

The Super Congress: Taxation Without Representation

from Washington's Blog

Vilnius mayor runs over illegally parked car in a tank

At last!  A highly effective approach to parking control that DC has yet to try. New York should consider this as well.

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/europe/lithuania/8678227/Vilnius-mayor-runs-over-illegally-parked-car-in-a-tank.htm

Vilnius mayor runs over illegally parked car in a tank

The eccentric mayor of Vilnius, the capital of Lithuania, has decided to send a stern message to anyone thinking of illegally parking on his city's streets: by driving over an illegally parked car in a Soviet-era armoured personnel carrier.

Vilnius mayor runs over illegally parked car in a tank
The mayor said he was signalling that there would be a zero-tolerance policy towards illegal parking from now on Photo: SWNS
By Andrew Osborn in Moscow
02 Aug 2011

Is a Balanced Budget Amendment a Good Idea? By SIMON JOHNSON

Is a Balanced Budget Amendment a Good Idea?

Obama Still Wall Street's Honey ... Raises More (As Both Raw Amount And Percentage) From Wall Street Than In 2008

Shadow currencies head for bigger future

Shadow currencies head for bigger future The conventional wisdom that the haven Swiss franc outperforms during times of risk aversion, while the Australian and Canadian dollars appreciate when risk-seeking investors shift into commodities, has become undone this year as all three currencies have surged against the US dollar and the euro.

Instead, the Swiss franc, Canadian and Australian dollars are being increasingly traded in the foreign exchange markets as they represent an alternative group of ‘shadow currencies’ for investors wishing to take directional views on the world’s three leading economies: America, China and Germany.
http://link.ft.com/r/IOCBMM/B540EE/QFRUDM/EWMN1T/622169/CM/h?a1=2011&a2=8&a3=3

Debt deal darkens fragile US economic outlook

Debt deal darkens fragile US economic outlook
I usually refrain from grading economic policy outcomes. Having spent fifteen years at the International Monetary Fund, I am sensitive to the limited flexibility that policymakers have in practice, as well as the inherent uncertainties about policy counterfactuals.

This time is different. Those responsible for America’s multi-month debt ceiling debacle deserve, at best, an “incomplete”. They could even merit a “fail” grade if both the process and outcome inflict the type of damage to America and the global system that I suspect they will.
http://link.ft.com/r/WDI4RR/JEQ58I/0GB0NQ/V13A44/B5587G/KI/h?a1=2011&a2=8&a3=3

 

Eugene Robinson on What the Debt Deal Means for Progressives

Eugene Robinson on What the Debt Deal Means for Progressives
"A Retreat, Not a Rout" -- It's supremely galling. It's unbalanced, unfair and mostly unwise. For President Obama and the Democratic Party, it's a comprehensive defeat. But it's not the end of the world.
http://www.truthdig.com/report/item/a_retreat_not_a_rout_20110801/

William Pfaff on the Debt Debate: An International Perspective

William Pfaff on the Debt Debate: An International Perspective
"The World Has Been Watching" -- Few Americans know, or much care, about the opinions foreigners hold of the United States. This was displayed during the ignorant and solipsistic debate over when or whether the United States will pay its debts.
http://www.truthdig.com/report/item/the_world_has_been_watching_20110802/

Amy Goodman on the Debt Ceiling's Connection to War

Amy Goodman on the Debt Ceiling's Connection to War
"War, Debt and the President" -- The history of the U.S. national debt is inexorably tied to its many wars. The resolution this week of the so-called debt ceiling crisis is no different.
http://www.truthdig.com/report/item/war_debt_and_the_president_20110802/

Robert Scheer on Obama's Debt-Ceiling Surrender

Robert Scheer on Obama's Debt-Ceiling Surrender
"The Recovery Is Dead, Long Live the Recovery" -- The die has been cast. Obama's deal to raise the debt ceiling is a disaster in the making.
http://www.truthdig.com/report/item/the_recovery_is_dead_long_live_the_recovery_20110803/

World Politics Review Media Roundup :03 Aug 2011

World Politics Review

Media Roundup: 03 Aug 2011

China Calls on U.S. to Manage Its Debt 'Responsibly' From Now On

By: Tania Branigan | The Guardian
The governor of China's central bank has urged the US to take "responsible" measures to deal with its debt issues, warning that uncertainty could damage global growth, in the country's first official response to the bill.

For Italy, Political Farce Could Descend Into Financial Tragedy

By: RACHEL DONADIO | The New York Times
Italy's financial position is deteriorating at the same time that its politicians are mired in a host of judicial investigations and lurid rumors.

Bedridden Mubarak Appears in Court

By: Ernesto Londono and Leila Fadel | The Washington Post
The ousted Egyptian president, bedridden and looking sickly, is wheeled into the cage of a Cairo courtroom to be put on trial. The former autocrat's appearance gripped millions of Egyptians awestruck by the reversal of fortune of a man who ruled the Arab world's most populous nation for three decades.

More News

Levin and McCain: We have no idea how much debt deal cuts defense

Levin and McCain: We have no idea how much debt deal cuts defense
Posted: 02 Aug 2011 -
The two heads of the Senate Armed Services Committee told The Cable today that even they have no idea how much the debt ceiling deal will cut from national defense, because the specifics of the cuts are still unknown.

Libya: Uneasy seat of power

Libya: Uneasy seat of power As strains emerge among the rebels, the revolt's progress is under increasingly close scrutiny from its western backers, as well as protesters and autocrats across the region, write Michael Peel and Simeon Kerr
http://link.ft.com/r/R5WAEE/DWX0JE/3O62UJ/WLPAZN/HYY08W/1G/h?a1=2011&a2=8&a3=3

Tuesday, August 2, 2011

A diminished president, a diminished global power from Shadow Government by Peter Feaver

A diminished president, a diminished global power

from Shadow Government

US retreats from brink of debt default

US retreats from brink of debt default No immediate downgrade but vulnerability remains, with Moody’s retaining the country’s triple A rating but switching its outlook to ‘negative’
http://link.ft.com/r/DHGUVV/ZG8RSW/EW4YCB/FX5NJZ/JEEVT5/CM/h?a1=2011&a2=8&a3=2

After debt deal, economy in deeper peril

After debt deal, economy in deeper peril

The Obama Downgrade, Alphabetically

The Obama Downgrade, Alphabetically
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424053111903341404576481870724644008.html

Truth Emerges About IED Carnage


The end of Big Oil?

The end of Big Oil?

August 1, 2011: 10:18 AM ET

How the break-up of ConocoPhillips could lead to similar moves by oil conglomerates like BP and Exxon Mobil, forever changing the energy landscape.

Are High Fuel Taxes the Answer to Solving our Energy Problems?

Are High Fuel Taxes the Answer to Solving our Energy Problems?

Isn't It Time to Lower America's War Ceiling?

Isn't It Time to Lower America's War Ceiling?
Tom Engelhardt, TomDispatch: "One American world, one Washington, is devouring the other. Think of this as the half-hidden psychodrama of this American moment. Put another way, for months Americans have been focused on raising that debt ceiling, as onscreen countdown clocks ticked away to disaster. In the process, few have asked the obvious question: Isn't it time to lower America's war ceiling?"
Read the Article

Who Is In Worse Shape – the United States or Europe? from The Baseline Scenario by Simon Johnson

Who Is In Worse Shape – the United States or Europe?

from The Baseline Scenario

A Few Thoughts on the Debt Ceiling Deal from The Baseline Scenario by James Kwak

A Few Thoughts on the Debt Ceiling Deal

from The Baseline Scenario

When did the American empire start to decline? from Stephen M. Walt

When did the American empire start to decline?

from Stephen M. Walt 

Cuts, What Cuts? Deficit Bill Has No Cuts, No Revenue Either, Just Hot Air; "Sugar-Coated Satan Sandwich?"

Cuts, What Cuts? Deficit Bill Has No Cuts, No Revenue Either, Just Hot Air; "Sugar-Coated Satan Sandwich?"

Inflated Employability by William Manson

Inflated Employability

by William Manson

Foxconn to use 1 million robots by 2014 to replace workers

World Politics Review Media Roundup; 02 aUG 2011

Media Roundup: 02 Aug 2011

Cuba Approves Economic Reform Plan

By: Agencies | Al Jazeera
The Cuban National Assembly has approved Communist Party proposals to overhaul the country's state-dominated economy and lift some restrictions on citizens' personal lives, according to state-run media.

U.S. Says Iran-Backed Militia Attacks Down in Iraq

Agence France-Presse
There has been a significant decline in attacks carried out by Iran-backed Shiite militias in Iraq in recent weeks, after June saw the highest US death toll in two years, the top US officer said on Tuesday.

Nigerian Government Broaches Idea of Dialogue With Islamist Boko Haram

By: Alex Thurston | The Christian Science Monitor
Force has not quelled Nigeria's Islamist group Boko Haram, which has claimed responsibility for many terror attacks in the north. Now Nigeria's government is offering talks.

More News

Debt ceiling deal accomplishes little

Debt ceiling deal accomplishes little

For all the drama, the compromise achieves little in the short term and only delays what most see as the country's key financial decision: whether to raise taxes or reduce Medicare.

A U.S. Debt -- and Prestige -- Downgrade?

A U.S. Debt -- and Prestige -- Downgrade?

Stock markets reverse early gains after bleak US manufacturing data

Stock markets reverse early gains after bleak US manufacturing data

Slowdown in US manufacturing output sent stock markets into a tailspin wiping out gains from relief over debt deal in Washington

A Poor Deal For U.S. Economy

A Poor Deal For U.S. Economy

August 1, 2011
Author:
Sebastian Mallaby, Director of the Maurice R. Greenberg Center for Geoeconomic Studies and Paul A. Volcker Senior Fellow for International Economics

Top of the Agenda: House Passes Debt Plan; Senate Votes Today from the CFR

Top of the Agenda: House Passes Debt Plan; Senate Votes Today
The U.S. House of Representatives passed legislation Monday night to raise the nation's $14.3 trillion debt ceiling by $2.4 trillion (WSJ) in three steps. The Senate is expected to pass the bill today, after which President Barack Obama will sign it into law, narrowly meeting a deadline that could have seen the United States default on its financial obligations for the first time in history.
If enacted, the plan will create a bipartisan congressional committee (NYT) to make recommendations on cutting the deficit--through spending cuts and a possible revision of the tax code--by at least $2.1 trillion over ten years.
Global markets and international leaders initially responded positively (DeutscheWelle) to news of the deal, with French Finance Minister Francois Baroin saying the move would "reinforce global growth." But stock markets dropped by the end of Monday as international investors responded to weak U.S. manufacturing figures for June and continued speculation that the United States may lose its AAA credit rating (Guardian), despite an agreement on the debt ceiling.
Analysis:
A tentative agreement on raising the debt ceiling falls far short of the deep reforms needed to improve U.S. spending patterns and the country's global standing, writes CFR's Sebastian Mallaby.
Whatever the outcome of the debt ceiling debate, many analysts expect a downgrade in the U.S. debt rating because of doubts about deficit-reduction plans. The fallout could include higher borrowing costs, a weaker dollar, and market turbulence.
A U.S. downgrade is justified, and rating agencies are likely to make good on their threat, write Carmen Reinhart and Vincent Reinhart in this Financial Times op-ed.

New Report Places a Spotlight on America's Energy Choices

New Report Places a Spotlight on America's Energy Choices

American Security Project publishes a detailed report analyzing the current and potential sources of energy America can use to power the nation and also highlights why there must be an "energy mix"

PR Newswire

WASHINGTON, Aug. 2, 2011 /PRNewswire/ -- Today the American Security Project released a new white paper titled "America's Energy Choices," a report that outlines the various energy options the U.S. has to power its economy and to meet 21st energy challenges. The report details 10 different energy options which are considered within the context of the following concerns: 1) energy security, 2) economic stability, and 3) environmental sustainability.  
BGen Steve A. Cheney , CEO of the American Security Project (ASP), said: "Demand for electricity in America continues to increase year after year, yet our power plants are aging. Our energy consumption habits are requiring us to do business with politically and socially unstable countries.  We need to reset our energy priorities, now."
BGen Cheney added: " Right here in America we have a wealth of energy options — sources of energy that do, and will continue to, fuel our economy and meet our energy demands. We have to invest in these energy sources and utilize them where they make the most sense. We hope that our elected officials deliberate on conclusions set forth within this report."
According to the "America's Energy Choices" report, the U.S. has three broad categories of energy to choose from which includes: fossil fuels, nuclear energy, and renewable power. The report also shows that, within each of the aforementioned categories, there are positive and negative aspects to their consumption and production. Read the full report here, and participate in a supplemental energy poll here.
Andrew Holland , Senior Fellow for Energy and Climate at ASP and author of the report, stated: "America needs more energy of all sorts, but especially electricity. By 2035, U.S. electricity demand will increase by 30%. The aim of this paper is to lay out the choices that America's leaders need to make in order to meet this need. It does not to pick winners and losers. Instead, it presents a matrix of policy choices for the government, utilities, and the private sector to consider."
Mr. Holland went on to say: "The challenges America and its leaders face on how we use energy are significant. They include climate change, rising prices, increasing global demand, declining infrastructure, and pollution. We have to make choices on what energy mix we need in the future – America's current energy mix is geopolitically, environmentally, and economically unsustainable."
About the American Security Project: The American Security Project is a non-profit, bipartisan public policy and research organization dedicated to fostering knowledge and understanding of a range of national security issues, promoting debate about the appropriate use of American power, and cultivating strategic responses to 21st century challenges. For more information, visit www.americansecurityproject.org .
SOURCE American Security Project
CONTACT: Paul Hamill, +1-202-347-8999, Press@americansecurityproject.org
Web Site: http://www.americansecurityproject.org

Economic establishment to blame for financial crisis

Economic establishment to blame for financial crisis It has been said that the only purpose of economic forecasts is to make astrology look respectable. This may be a bit harsh, but the precision and significance attributed to the latest UK gross domestic product data is absurd.


http://link.ft.com/r/CTBPCC/2O0N3Y/40OA1R/S3ROC1/300FVJ/ZH/h?a1=2011&a2=8&a3=2

The myth of Obama's "blunders" and "weakness"

Glenn Greenwald

The myth of Obama's "blunders" and "weakness"

White House Believed Republicans Would Agree to Tax Increases, and Also, in Magic Unicorns

White House Believed Republicans Would Agree to Tax Increases, and Also, in Magic Unicorns

Sometimes compromise is the worst thing

Sometimes compromise is the worst thing

The Impact of the Budget Deal for Those Who Don’t Carry Around the Budget in Their Pocket Dean Baker

The Impact of the Budget Deal for Those Who Don’t Carry Around the Budget in Their Pocket Dean Baker

Tom Ferguson on the Debt Deal: Debt Ceiling Deal All Cuts No Taxes - 08/01/2011 - Yves Smith

http://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2011/08/tom-ferguson-on-the-debt-deal-debt-ceiling-deal-all-cuts-no-taxes.html

Tom Ferguson on the Debt Deal: Debt Ceiling Deal All Cuts No Taxes

View: Debt-Ceiling Deal is an Alarming Bipartisan Mess

View: Debt-Ceiling Deal is an Alarming Bipartisan Mess

Bloomberg View
By the Editors
Aug 1, 2011

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-08-02/congress-s-agreement-on-debt-ceiling-is-an-alarming-bipartisan-mess-view.html

Deal or no deal, a US downgrade is deserved

Deal or no deal, a US downgrade is deserved The pact does little to address vulnerabilities. Rating agencies are likely to make good their threat, write Carmen Reinhart and Vincent Reinhart
http://link.ft.com/r/WDI4RR/NJR7XB/5C0ZLF/A72EPP/KQQ6IU/PJ/h?a1=2011&a2=8&a3=2

US: Obstacles to progress

US: Obstacles to progress As Barack Obama's push for a growth-boosting infrastructure boom becomes bogged down in political divisions over federal spending, a stalling recovery makes action increasingly urgent, writes Anna Fifield
http://link.ft.com/r/6NPSBB/5V2UIT/OJS3XZ/NSET65/300ETN/E4/h?a1=2011&a2=8&a3=2

"Many Americans Believe That The 2008-2009 Downturn Never Ended". They're Right.

"Many Americans Believe That The 2008-2009 Downturn Never Ended". They're Right.

from Washington's Blog

HSBC axes 30,000 jobs in cost-cutting drive

HSBC axes 30,000 jobs in cost-cutting drive
London (AFP) Aug 1, 2011 - HSBC will slash 30,000 jobs worldwide over the next two years as it looks to slash costs, the global banking giant announced Monday after also unveiling bumper profits. Europe's biggest lender said in a statement that it was cutting 5,000 workers in Latin America, the United States, Britain, France and the Middle East while new boss Stuart Gulliver revealed that the cost-cutting plans would ... more

US, Vietnam start first military relationship

US, Vietnam start first military relationship
Washington (AFP) Aug 1, 2011 - The United States and Vietnam on Monday opened their first formal military relationship since their war, another sign of growing cooperation amid high tensions between Hanoi and China. The US and Vietnamese militaries signed an agreement in Hanoi setting up cooperation in health, setting the stage for exchanges and research collaboration in military medicine, a US Navy statement said. Th ... more

Monday, August 1, 2011

India growth forecast cut to 8.2%

India growth forecast cut to 8.2% Downward revision comes amid high global commodity prices, supply bottlenecks that affect the price of food, and loose fiscal policy
http://link.ft.com/r/3JFELL/C4WB9A/OJS3XZ/M9IL18/HYYHC6/W1/h?a1=2011&a2=8&a3=1

Fears rise as global output stalls

Fears rise as global output stalls The recovery in global manufacturing is running out of steam, a series of indicators show, raising fears that there is little momentum left in the world economy
http://link.ft.com/r/3JFELL/C4WB9A/OJS3XZ/M9IL18/JEEG2X/W1/h?a1=2011&a2=8&a3=1

S&P under pressure over US credit rating

S&P under pressure over US credit rating Rating agency silent so far on a possible downgrade of the world’s biggest economy following a prospective debt deal, saying only that its review is continuing
http://link.ft.com/r/3JFELL/C4WB9A/OJS3XZ/M9IL18/HYYHCO/W1/h?a1=2011&a2=8&a3=1

More fiscal warfare on the horizon

More fiscal warfare on the horizon A new round of fiscal warfare is in store for the US over the coming months as a new congressional committee is formed to find extra savings from the most sensitive areas of the budget
http://link.ft.com/r/3JFELL/C4WB9A/OJS3XZ/M9IL18/QNN2WX/W1/h?a1=2011&a2=8&a3=1

Global Aftershocks of a U.S. Debt Default

Global Aftershocks of a U.S. Debt Default

Global Aftershocks of a U.S. Debt DefaultWhile a temporary default is not likely to fundamentally alter the global economic dynamic, the U.S. budget imbalance and uncertainties over whether Washington will address that imbalance are major contributors to international tensions.

The Battle of Dubai: The United Arab Emirates and the U.S.-Iran Cold War

The Battle of Dubai: The United Arab Emirates and the U.S.-Iran Cold War

The Battle of Dubai: The United Arab Emirates and If the United States and the United Arab Emirates seek to move beyond sanctions and military containment to address the deeper roots of the Iranian threat, they may find they have differing long-term interests.

Nigeria, Iran Battle for OPEC's No.2 Position

Nigeria, Iran Battle for OPEC's No.2 Position

from OilPrice.com Daily News Update

Guest Post: That Which Is Too Fearful To Speak: The Demise of the Consumer Economy

Guest Post: That Which Is Too Fearful To Speak: The Demise of the Consumer Economy

from zero hedge

CBO Scores "Bipartisan" Plan At Half Of S&P Required Savings; Only 2% Of Total Cuts To Take Place Before Obama Reelection

CBO Scores "Bipartisan" Plan At Half Of S&P Required Savings; Only 2% Of Total Cuts To Take Place Before Obama Reelection

from zero hedge

Word War Two: After Calling Bernanke A "Hooligan", Putin Now Says America Is "A Parasite" Living Off The Global Economy

Word War Two: After Calling Bernanke A "Hooligan", Putin Now Says America Is "A Parasite" Living Off The Global Economy

from zero hedge

Ron Paul's Statement On The Budget Control Act And On "Super Congress"

Ron Paul's Statement On The Budget Control Act And On "Super Congress"

Not one but two letters today (link to prior here) from a very digusted Ron Paul, in which he once again dissects the complete farce that is the "spending" cut bill (if by spending one means slightly lowering the angle of attack on future government expenditures well over and above the revenue slope) and also adds his thoughts on the farce that is the "Super Congress."
read more

NEI Briefs Financial Community on Post-Fukushima Nuclear Energy Outlook

NEI Briefs Financial Community on Post-Fukushima Nuclear Energy Outlook

Saudi budget to need over $100 oil price

Saudi budget to need over $100 oil price

Prices must average $321 in 2030 to achieve budget balance

By
  • Nadim Kawach
Published Sunday, July 31, 2011- http://www.emirates247.com/business/economy-finance/saudi-budget-to-need-over-100-oil-price-2011-07-31-1.410464

Guest Post: Defense Buck Does Not Stop with This Debt Deal by Winslow Wheeler

There are numerous misleading and misinformed assertions being made about the defense spending parts of the debt deal.
 
The White House's "fact sheet" asserts a $350 billion savings in the "base defense budget." The $350 billion in defense savings that the White House declares apparently uses a different "baseline" (basis of comparison) and pretends that a two year cap the bill establishes on "security" spending will extend to ten years.  Most misleading of all, it assumes that all savings in the "security" category (which includes DOD, DOE/nuclear weapons, all State Department related spending, Veterans Affairs, and Homeland Security) will occur only in DOD spending.  In fact, the "security" category was designed to broaden the base for "defense" cuts and to lessen the impact on DOD.  The undocumented $350 billion in "security" savings will actually translate into lesser reductions in DOD spending, but the amount is unknown.  The actual amount will be decided by Congress in the future.
 
Others have found $500 billion -- or even $600 billion -- in defense budget reductions, if the new bill's sequestration procedures are implemented.  The bill is specifically designed for that not to happen -- even if betting on inaction from this Congress appears a safe bet.
 
If the sequestration process is started by the failure of the new joint congressional committee to achieve targeted savings, the reductions would occur in the quite different National Defense category (DOD, DOE/Nuclear Weapons, and defense related cats and dogs in other agencies).  They could be $500 billion, but, remember, this sequestration process is specifically designed to be as unattractive to Capitol Hill as possible.  While gridlock in Congress is surely a good bet, it is also likely that the joint congressional committee to be established will recommend a selection of cuts that do not hit DOD as hard.  In other words, the amount above and beyond the unknown DOD cuts in the "security" category are also unknown if the new joint committee does its job.
 
There will be reductions under this debt deal to the level of spending that President Obama has in his pre-existing ten year DOD budget plan, but the actual figure is also masked by the fact that the debt deal is compared to a ten year CBO "baseline" (2011 spending levels adjusted according to arcane rules and inflated by a highly unreliable projection of long term future inflation).
 
There will not be $850 billion in reduction in the Pentagon budget as a result of this debt deal.  The actual amount is unknown.  The actual amount will be determined by this and future Congresses; while the political winds now favoring the Pentagon relative to other forms of discretionary spending may change, the most likely alterations to DOD spending appear today to be significantly less than the much touted $850 billion.
 
The debt deal kicks the defense budget can down the road for this and future Congresses.  People should not read precision and certainty into a political deal specifically designed to be uncertain and indistinct.
 
_____________________________
Winslow T. Wheeler
Director
Straus Military Reform Project
Center for Defense Information
301 791-2397

Afghanistan, the Taliban, and the US deficit


http://www.csmonitor.com/World/Backchannels/2011/0728/Afghanistan-the-Taliban-and-the-US-deficit

Afghanistan, the Taliban, and the US deficit

A series of Taliban assaults left at least 22 people dead in southern Afghanistan today, a reminder that as Congress looks for spending cuts, the US remains far from a 'mission accomplished' moment.

To the intransigent go the spoils

To the intransigent go the spoils President Obama has stood aside and let things happen. Whatever comes next in the debt deal, his presidency is in trouble, writes Clive Crook
http://link.ft.com/r/BLH300/97M1XO/5C0ZLF/720XIQ/KQQT5A/FW/h?a1=2011&a2=8&a3=1

Libya years away from oil recovery

Libya years away from oil recovery Libyan oil production will take years, not months, to return to full capacity once a political solution to the conflict is found, according to Barclays Capital. “The reincorporation of Libyan oil into the world market increasingly seems a distant possibility” according to the study, which warns of a lasting political vacuum after the potential fall of the Gaddafi regime. Libya is Africa’s third largest oil-producer but in the five months since the civil war, crude production has dropped from 1.6 million barrels per day to less than 100,000 b/d. Domestic consumption is estimated at 270,000 b/d, but over 85% of …

http://link.ft.com/r/BLH300/2O0JHF/40OA1R/S3R80Z/HYYHNQ/GX/h?a1=2011&a2=8&a3=1

President and Tea Party win big, the national interest be damned

Outside View

President and Tea Party win big, the national interest be damned


Read more: http://www.upi.com/Top_News/Analysis/Outside-View/2011/08/01/Outside-View-President-and-Tea-Party-win-big-the-national-interest-be-damned/UPI-27651312195054/#ixzz1Tmyv7YdY

Jim Rogers: U.S. Already Has Lost AAA Rating

Jim Rogers: U.S. Already Has Lost AAA Rating 7/25/2011 9:00:55 AM

Famed investor Jim Rogers says the U.S., in effect, already has lost its AAA credit rating amid fiscal mismanagement, and he remains pessimistic on the country's outlook. He calls the current debt negotiations in Washington a political "charade."

The Dangerous Mirage of Washington Deficit Plans

The Dangerous Mirage of Washington Deficit Plans

A U.S. Debt -- and Prestige -- Downgrade?

A U.S. Debt -- and Prestige -- Downgrade?

Top of the Agenda: Obama and Congress Agree to Debt Deal from the CFR

Top of the Agenda: Obama and Congress Agree to Debt Deal
U.S. President Barack Obama and Republican and Democratic congressional leaders agreed on a plan to raise the United States' $14.3 trillion debt ceiling (WSJ) just ahead of a crucial August 2 deadline that could have seen the nation default on its debt obligations.
The deal, which will be voted on by the House and the Senate today, would raise the debt limit by $2.4 trillion in two stages, while committing to equal spending cuts over ten years. If approved, the deal will establish a new congressional committee to recommend a long-term deficit reduction (NYT) package by Thanksgiving.
Global investors responded positively to the news, boosting U.S. stocks (Reuters) and selling off safe-haven assets. But many investors still fear that the deal does not go far enough to shield the country from a credit rating downgrade that could see it lose its long-held AAA status. The agreement includes only around $1 trillion (Politico) in spending cuts upfront, far short of the $4 trillion encouraged by Standard and Poor's. While less severe than a default, a credit downgrade would have significant repercussions for the U.S. and global economies.
Analysis:
Regardless of the debate over the debt ceiling, many analysts expect a downgrade in the U.S. debt rating because of doubts about a comprehensive deficit-reduction plan. The fallout could include higher borrowing costs, a weaker dollar, and market turbulence, says this CFR Analysis Brief.
Raising the debt ceiling without a credible deficit-cutting agreement still poses real risks of imminent, damaging market turmoil, says this analysis by the Center for Geoeconomic Studies.
The debt deal would avert a catastrophic government default immediately and probably through the end of 2012. The rest of it is a nearly complete capitulation to the hostage-taking demands of Republican extremists, says this New York Times editorial.
The big picture is that the deal is a victory for the cause of smaller government, arguably the biggest since welfare reform in 1996, says this Wall Street Journal editorial.

World Politics Review Media Roundup: 01 Aug 2011

World Politics Review

Media Roundup: 01 Aug 2011

Syrians Strike Restive Cities in Fierce Raids

By: NADA BAKRI and ANTHONY SHADID | The New York Times
Syrian military and security forces assaulted Hama and other restive cities before dawn on Sunday, killing at least 70 people in the broadest and fiercest crackdown yet by the government of President Bashar al-Assad on the four-month uprising against his rule, activists and residents said.

Violence Continues in Pakistan's Karachi; 200 Killed in July

By: Faisal Aziz | Reuters
Deadly civil strife continued on Monday from the weekend in Pakistan's commercial hub of Karachi despite efforts by officials to quell the violence in the city that is home to the country's main port, stock exchange and central bank.

Prime Minister's Push Reshapes Turkey

By: MARC CHAMPION | The Wall Street Journal
Turkey's military and government will meet in the wake of the resignations of the armed forces' top commanders, part of a new era in Turkey in which a civilian leader--Prime Minister Erdogan--is in complete control.

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Fiscal worries linger after debt deal

Fiscal worries linger after debt deal