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Wednesday, July 13, 2016

Poll: Iranian Public Souring on Nuclear Deal, Rouhani

Poll: Iranian Public Souring on Nuclear Deal, Rouhani

by Derek Davison
A brand-new public opinion poll conducted by on behalf of the Center for International and Security Studies at Maryland finds that Iranians have not experienced the economic benefits they expected following the successful implementation of the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA). Consequently, opinion is beginning to turn on the nuclear deal and on its chief Iranian architect, President Hassan Rouhani, who is expected to stand for reelection next year.
The shift in Iranian opinion with respect to the JCPOA has been sudden and sharp. In August 2015 75.5% of Iranians either strongly or somewhat approved of the deal, compared to 62.6% in June 2016. Iranian perceptions of the fairness of the deal have shifted dramatically. Back then, 11.9% agreed that, in the deal, Iran had “made many important concessions” to the P5+1 while 22.6% agreed that the P5+1 had “made many important concessions” to Iran. Now those numbers have turned completely around, with 19% agreeing that Iran made many concessions to the P5+1 but only 5.1% agreeing that the P5+1 made many concessions to Iran. Overall, 27.3% of Iranians now say that their officials negotiated a “bad deal” in the JCPOA, up from only 10% who thought so in a Gallup poll taken last September. The percentage of Iranians who say the JCPOA was a “good deal” has declined from 68% in that Gallup poll to 61.6% today.

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