Pages

Search This Blog

Friday, December 4, 2015

Can Saudi and Iran play ball in Lebanon?

http://english.alarabiya.net/en/views/news/middle-east/2015/12/03/Can-Saudi-and-Iran-play-ball-in-Lebanon-.html

Can Saudi and Iran play ball in Lebanon?

Thursday, 3 December 2015

Joyce Karam
If Lebanon is the bellwether for Middle East politics then the news of a potential breakthrough in its presidential vote will test regional diplomacy and the potential for Saudi-Iranian detente in Beirut and beyond.
The proposed deal to nominate pro-Hezbollah leader Suleiman Franjieh as president and Saudi Arabia’s ally Saad Hariri as prime minister, cannot materialize without the blessing of Riyadh and Tehran, the two most influential outside players in the Lebanese arena.
After more than 550 days of presidential void, Lebanon could be weeks away from electing a new president. Lebanese sources following the negotiations are cautiously optimistic about the agreement, while warning it is “not a done deal” and could be torpedoed from within Lebanon. Key rivals of Franjieh in the Lebanese Christian base – namely leaders Michel Aoun and Samir Gaagaa – are still opposed to it, while others within Hariri’s own party would like to see it fail.
Saudi Arabia and Iran dancing tango in Lebanon would be significant if it succeeds, and could mark a beginning of a larger conversation.
However, the increasing cost of political and security paralysis in Lebanon, and the recognition among opposing camps of the need to step away from the Syrian abyss is the biggest advantage playing in favor of the deal.http://english.alarabiya.net/en/views/news/middle-east/2015/12/03/Can-Saudi-and-Iran-play-ball-in-Lebanon-.html

No comments: