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Wednesday, January 9, 2013

CFR Update: U.S. Weighs Complete Afghanistan Withdrawal

Daily News Brief
January 9, 2013

Top of the Agenda: U.S. Weighs Complete Afghanistan Withdrawal
U.S. officials have raised the possibility of a complete military withdrawal (Guardian) from Afghanistan for the first time as Afghan President Hamid Karzai arrived in Washington for three days of talks over military and economic ties. Some reports say that the Obama administration plans to slash forces by more than half (LAT) during the next sixteen months; Gen. John R. Allen, commander of the international forces in Afghanistan, had wanted to keep the majority of the 66,000 U.S. troops in place through the summer, traditionally the heaviest months of fighting against Taliban insurgents. On Friday, Karzai holds his first face-to-face talks with President Barack Obama since last year's NATO summit in Chicago.
Analysis
"One of the preeminent fears that the U.S. and other Western countries have is the possible return of an al Qaeda safe haven, and a Kabul-based government that is busy buying off its foes in various regions won't be able to extend its writ throughout the country to prevent such a safe haven from reemerging," writes David Gartenstein-Ross for The Atlantic.
"A decorated Vietnam veteran acutely aware of the limits of military power, Chuck Hagel is likely to favor a sizable drawdown in Afghanistan, more frugal spending at the Pentagon and extreme caution when contemplating the use of force in places like Iran or Syria," writes Phil Stewart for Reuters.
"Any move to opt for exigency steps by undermining the fundamentals of power transfer will prove to be too costly. Obama, who in his first term dispensed with his promise of ending the Afghan war, has a responsibility to hand over a free and stable Afghanistan back to its sovereigns," writes an editorial for the Khaleej Times.

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