WPR Articles June 9 — June 15
Modi’s Visit Clarifies the New Normal in U.S.-India Relations
By: Ellen Laipson | Column
Indian Prime Minister
Narendra Modi’s visit to Washington last week was striking in its
normalcy, in contrast with the drama of the early years of the
transformation in bilateral ties. The strategic trajectory is clear:
Cooperation is growing on managing the global commons and ensuring a
peaceful Asia.
With Military Deals, France Asserts Its Presence in the Asia-Pacific
By: Bruno Tertrais | Briefing
France has always claimed
to be a power in the Asia-Pacific, but some recent strategic
developments have given additional credence to that claim. In April,
France won a landmark contract to sell 12 attack submarines to
Australia, after securing a deal with India for 36 Rafale fighter jets
last year.
Made in Africa: Will Ethiopia’s Push for Industrialization Pay Off?
By: Jonathan W. Rosen | Feature
Despite strong economic
growth over the past decade, Ethiopia remains an industrial laggard. Yet
a critical turning point may be imminent. After years of an active
industrial policy, Ethiopia’s economic architects say the time is right
for a manufacturing-sector takeoff driven by foreign investment.
After Narrow Win in Peru, Kuczynski Must Still Contend With Fujimori
By: David Dudenhoefer | Briefing
Pedro Pablo Kuczynski won
one of the most contested presidential races in Peru’s history last
week. He’ll face obstacles in his efforts to strengthen the economy and
improve life for Peruvians, most of all the fact that his opponent Keiko
Fujimori’s party holds a majority in Congress.
Ban’s U.N. Successor: Messiahs Need Not Apply
By: Richard Gowan | Column With U.N. Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon leaving office at the end of this year, U.N. staffers have hoped and prayed that a far more decisive and independent leader will take his place in 2017. This kind of thinking overlooks the factors beyond Ban’s leadership that threaten the organization’s future.Can Modi’s India Become the Global Economy’s Next Engine of Growth?
By: Frida Ghitis | Column
The global economy has
always relied on at least one major engine of growth. Right now, the
U.S., China and Europe are not up to the task. Is India, which just
unveiled figures making it the fastest-growing of any of the world’s
major economies? The answer, unfortunately, remains an emphatic “maybe.”
Dysfunctional Democracy and Referenda: The Case of Brexit
By: Matthias Matthijs | Briefing
British Prime Minister
David Cameron has gotten himself into a much bigger mess than he ever
bargained for. The risk of an actual British exit from the EU is all too
real, and the consequences for the Conservative Party are likely to be
dire, even in the case of a close vote in favor of remaining in the EU.
Turkey and Iran Seek to Insulate Economic Ties From Syria Tensions
By: The Editors | Trend Lines
Last week, a Turkish
energy firm signed a $4.2 billion deal for the construction of seven
natural gas power plants in Iran, the largest investment deal in Iran
since sanctions were lifted. In an email interview, Brandeis
University’s Nader Habibi discussed the evolution of Turkish-Iranian
ties.
China’s Mastery of the Internet Keeps Dissent at Bay
By: The Editors | Trend Lines
In this week’s Trend
Lines podcast, WPR’s Judah Grunstein and host Peter Dörrie discuss gang
violence in El Salvador, a crackdown on the opposition in the Republic
of Congo, and diplomatic outreach to Africa by Turkey and South Korea.
For the Report, Yaqiu Wang joins us to talk about dissent in China.
Crossing the Rubicon: The Inevitable Emergence of Military Robots
By: Steven Metz | Column
Important as the U.S.
military’s adoption of drone warfare is, it is only a first step in a
much bigger process. A move has now begun toward the development and
adoption of autonomous, unmanned systems, so-called killer robots.
Roboticization is inevitable, but where it ultimately will lead is
unclear.
Mongolia, Hit Hard by the Commodities Slump, Wearily Faces Elections
By: Julian Dierkes | Briefing
Given the scale of its
economic downturn, Mongolia’s parliamentary elections June 29 could see a
staggering defeat for the ruling Democratic Party. Yet rather than
offer a compelling vision for the future, the party has focused on
reconfiguring the entire election system, creating more problems in the
process.
Poland Refuses to Back Down to EU Over Constitutional Court Crisis
By: Maria Savel | Trend Lines
Last week, the EU
released an opinion accusing Poland’s government of endangering the rule
of law and violating the union’s democratic principles, over changes
made to Poland’s Constitutional Tribunal. But the threat of sanctions is
unlikely to make the ruling Law and Justice party change tack.
Benin’s Tycoon-Turned-President Promises A Lot—But Who Will Benefit?
By: Alex Thurston | Briefing
Benin’s new president,
Patrice Talon, has made many minor reforms and announced ambitious plans
since his election in March. He may be testing the waters for making
bigger reforms to address Benin’s economic crises. But Talon’s business
interests and political incentives are blurred more than ever.
Democracy Flounders in Maldives, Where Outside Powers Vie for Influence
By: The Editors | Trend Lines
On June 5, the Maldives’
former vice president, Ahmed Adeeb, was convicted of attempting to
assassinate its president, Abdulla Yameen, the latest politically
motivated court case against the opposition. In an email interview,
Vishal Arora discusses the state of democracy and rule of law in the
Maldives.
Israel Deepens Asia Ties in Gradual Realignment of Foreign Policy
By: Emanuel Shahaf | Briefing
For over 20 years,
Israel’s ties with countries in Asia have gradually increased. But it is
not just a pivot to the region. Instead, it is a major realignment of
Israel’s foreign policy, supported by geopolitics and motivated by
Israel’s slowly eroding political relations with Europe and the U.S.
Mexico Struggles to Turn Climate Change Commitments Into Action
By: The Editors | Trend Lines
Leaders from Canada, the
United States and Mexico are to meet later this month for the so-called
Three Amigos summit, and climate change is expected to dominate the
agenda. In an email interview, Alexis Arthur, an independent energy
consultant, discussed Mexico’s response to climate change.
Easy Access to Guns, Not Terrorism, Is the Enemy in Orlando Shooting
By: Michael A. Cohen | Column
Rather than an example of
an ISIS-influenced or lone-wolf terrorist, the mass shooting in Orlando
was probably a case where Islam was an excuse for violence. That makes
stopping the next mass shooter that much more difficult. But there is
one way, if not to prevent them, to make them less likely.
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