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Friday, November 20, 2015

WPR Articles Monday, Nov. 16, 2015 - Friday, Nov. 20, 2015

WPR Articles Monday, Nov. 16, 2015 - Friday, Nov. 20, 2015

In the Wake of Tragedy, France Fights Back

By: The Editors | Trend LinesKilling sprees at six locations in Paris on Friday left at least 129 people dead and many more injured, with the city reeling after its second terrorist attack of 2015. In response, France and the U.S. upped their air-strike campaigns in Syria, and a manhunt is underway for the remaining suspects.

Pakistan Ups the Ante on Kashmir in Response to Modi’s Red Lines

By: Shehzad H. Qazi | Briefing
Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s visit to Kashmir earlier this month was the latest sign of how Kashmir has re-emerged as the most critical issue in India-Pakistan relations. While India takes a harder line, Pakistan has changed course, too, pursuing a campaign to again internationalize the long-running conflict.

The Belgian Connection and Europe’s Counterterrorism Failure

By: Karina Piser | Trend Lines
French authorities have identified Abdelhamid Abaaoud, a 27-year-old Belgian with ties to the Islamic State, as the mastermind of the Paris attacks. His hometown, the Brussels district of Molenbeek, is seen as a hub for extremism. Flawed counterterrorism strategy and poor social policy are to blame.
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Singapore’s Open Economy to See Limited Benefits From TPP

By: The Editors | Trend Lines
Since the Trans-Pacific Partnership, the biggest multilateral trade deal in recent years, was agreed to last month, the response in Singapore has been muted. In an email interview, Deborah Elms, executive director of the Asian Trade Centre, discussed the TPP’s expected impact on Singapore’s economy.

Presidential Election Promises Change in Argentina, but How Much?

By: Jason Marczak | Briefing
Argentina’s presidential vote this Sunday is one of its most consequential elections in recent history. After 12 years of Kirchnerismo, the next president will bring change to a country in need of an economic and political jolt. But how swiftly and how deeply will any transformations take place?

Modi’s Overreach Abroad Holds India Back on the World Stage

By: Arif Rafiq | Briefing
Narendra Modi’s ascent to India’s premiership last year was thought to have provided New Delhi with a leader who could propel its rise to great power status. But a year and a half later, Modi has yet to graduate into a statesman and demonstrate an ability to use soft and hard power to realize India’s potential.

New Plans for U.N. Cease-Fire Monitoring in Syria Must Avoid Past Errors

By: Richard Gowan | Column
This weekend, diplomats in Vienna called for a cease-fire in Syria, outside of attacks against the Islamic State and al-Nusra, and the five permanent UNSC members pledged to back a U.N.-endorsed mission to monitor it. Will this be a case of “the third time’s the charm” for peacekeeping in Syria?

Paris Attacks Signal New Phase in France’s War Against Islamic State

By: Judah Grunstein | Trend Lines
The Paris attacks mark a new phase of France’s fight against the self-declared Islamic State, but do little to break the strategic impasse over how to eradicate the group. France must brace against the likelihood of similar attacks, while adopting a more pro-active approach to preventing them.

After Paris Attacks, Could U.S. Arm France’s American Drones?

By: Sarah Kreps | Briefing
After the recent terrorist attacks in Paris, the U.S. has stated that it will assist France in whatever way necessary. That raises the question of whether U.S. assistance will include arming France’s American-made drones, as it recently did for Italy, and if so what the proliferation consequences would be.

At G-20 Summit, Economics Overshadowed by Paris Attacks

By: Ellen Laipson | Column
The annual G-20 summit in Turkey had been set to focus on an ambitious agenda to promote inclusive economic growth and global trade and investment. The terrorist attacks in Paris, however, overshadowed the meetings and raised hard questions about the inequalities that lead to radicalization and despair.

Future Tense: A Mixed Outlook for Kenya’s Coast

By: Jonathan W. Rosen | Feature
Mombasa, Kenya’s second-largest city, is a highly populated hub of Indian Ocean trade with a deeply cosmopolitan history. Yet like many communities along Kenya’s 333-mile “coastal strip,” it is being left behind, trailing most of the country in levels of income, education and access to health care.

U.K. Focuses Counterterrorism Policy on Fighting Radicalization

By: The Editors | Trend Lines
Last month, the U.K. announced new measures designed to prevent the radicalization of Muslim youth in Britain. In an email interview, Christopher Baker-Beall, a senior lecturer in international relations at Nottingham Trent University, discussed the U.K.’s counterterrorism and counter-extremism policies.

Clear Thinking on Terrorism, Not Myths, Needed After Paris Attacks

By: Michael A. Cohen | Column
Like most people, the Paris attacks filled me with a range of emotions: shock, horror, revulsion and finally anger. It seems, however, that among the pundit class, one emotion above all is dominating: panic. And it’s creating a set of myths that could keep us from learning the necessary lessons.

Ma-Xi Meeting Was Not a Milestone, but a Signal China Should Heed

By: Joel Atkinson | Briefing
Despite the pageantry of the meeting earlier this month between Taiwan’s president, Ma Ying-jeou, and the leader of China, Xi Jinping, it changed little. But the fact that the gulf between China and Taiwan is as wide as ever should have everyone, Chinese policymakers especially, taking notice.

After AKP Victory, Erdogan’s Legacy Is Still at Stake in Turkey

By: Iyad Dakka | Briefing
Many Turkey-watchers wrote President Recep Tayyip Erdogan’s political obituary in June, after his Justice and Development Party lost its parliamentary majority for the first time in 13 years. After winning it back earlier this month, Erdogan is back on top, though his legacy is hardly assured.

Despite Initial Solidarity, Paris Attacks Will Deepen Europe’s Divisions

By: Frida Ghitis | Column
Following the Paris attacks, the world reacted with a moving show of support for France. And yet, despite the sentiment of unity, the attacks will likely do more to divide than to unite the Islamic State’s enemies. The debates and political battles will almost certainly be emotional and acrimonious.

To Deter Islamic State, U.S. Must Discard Powell Doctrine

By: Steven Metz | Column
The conflict between the self-declared Islamic State and the civilized world has taken a chilling turn now that the group has demonstrated a deadly commitment to transnational terrorism. Clearly one phase of the conflict with the group has given way to a new one. The U.S. must react accordingly.
 

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