ISIS in Perspective
08/25/14
Paul R. Pillar
Terrorism Iraq Syria, Middle East
Americans,
following a long tradition of finding monsters overseas to destroy, are
now focusing their attention and their energy on a relatively new one:
the group variously known as ISIS or ISIL or the Islamic State. The
group has become a major disruptive factor in the already disrupted
internal affairs of Iraq and Syria, and it is legitimately a significant
object of concern for U.S. policy as far as instability and radicalism
in the Middle East are concerned. The outsized role that this group has
come to play in discourse about U.S. foreign policy, however—including
hyperbolic statements by senior officials—risks a loss of perspective
about what kind of threat it does or does not pose to U.S. interests,
and with that a possible loss of care in assessing what U.S. actions in
response would or would not be wise.
Several
attributes of ISIS have repeatedly and correctly been identified as
measures of the group's strength, and aspects of the group's rise that
are worthy of notice. These include its seizure of pieces of territory
in both Iraq and Syria, acquisition of financial resources, and
enlistment of substantial numbers of westerners. Although these are
impressive indicators of the group's success, none of them is equivalent
to a threat to U.S. interests, much less a physical threat to the
United States itself—at least not in the sense of a new danger different
from ones that have been around for some time. Money, for example, has
never been the main determinant of whether a group constitutes a such a
danger. Terrorism that makes a difference can be cheap, and one does not
need to rob banks in Mosul or to run an impressive revenue collection
operation in order to have enough money to make an impact. Even a
terrorist spectacular on the scale of 9/11 is within the reach of a
single wealthy and radically-minded donor to finance.
Read full articlehttp://nationalinterest.org/blog/paul-pillar/isis-perspective-11150
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