Beyond Bombing Iraq: Obama Needs an ISIS Strategy
08/12/14
Michael Rubin
Military Strategy, Security, The Presidency, Iraq, United States
Obama’s willingness to reengage in Iraq is admirable, but until he crafts a coherent strategy, he will be doing little more than using American pilots to kick the can down the road.
During his weekly radio address on August 9, President Barack Obama explained
his decision to launch airstrikes on Iraq. First, he said, American
airpower was necessary to keep the Islamic State of Iraq and Syria
(ISIS) from sweeping into Erbil, where many American diplomats,
officials and businessmen reside, and second, he declared force
necessary to provide humanitarian relief for displaced Yezidi stranded
and besieged on a mountaintop. Obama, however, cautioned that military
power could not alone resolve the situation. “There’s no American
military solution to the larger crisis there,” he said, urging “Iraqi
communities to reconcile, come together and fight back against these
terrorists.” Fine words, but they reveal more confusion than clarity in
the White House about Iraq, ISIS and the nature of terrorism.
In 2005, Robert Pape published a seminal book, Dying to Win: The Strategic Logic of Suicide Terrorism,
which argued against the backdrop of 9/11’s aftermath that it was
grievance—specifically, occupation and the quartering of troops among
resentful populations—and not religion that primarily motivated
terrorism. Subsequent studies
found Pape’s statistics massaged and questioned his conclusions, but
Pape’s thesis remains popular among both diplomats and academics. After
all, it is comforting to see terrorism as rooted in grievance because
that means that diplomacy, incentive or compromise can resolve such
conflicts. Unfortunately, however, ideology remains the key motivator
for Islamist terrorism. Forget poverty or lack of education: most
suicide bombers are educated and middle class. Nor can forcing
concessions or seeking compromise work when uncompromising Islamist
ideology is the problem: In an ideal world, Iraqi Prime Minister Nouri
al-Maliki might have been more magnanimous toward Sunni tribal leaders,
but no matter how many concessions he might have given, it would not
have changed the murderous ideology and outlook of ISIS.
Read full articlehttp://nationalinterest.org/feature/beyond-bombing-iraq-obama-needs-isis-strategy-11059
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