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Sunday, November 4, 2012

And If the GOP Doesn't Win, What Then? By James Fallows


And If the GOP Doesn't Win, What Then?

By James Fallows
harNov 3 2012 - http://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2012/11/and-if-the-gop-doesnt-win-what-then/264495/
Nobody knows what's going to happen on Tuesday. (11 p.m. Saturday update: But watching a completely-losing-his-voice Bill Clinton do a barnburner in his intro for Barack Obama in Virginia, I'm seeing an episode of Democratic "momentum.") (And nice line in return from Obama just now: "The only Clinton workin' harder than him is our Secretary of State.")

But let's do a thought experiment and assume that current probabilities hold. That would mean that Barack Obama is reelected; the Romney-Ryan ticket is defeated; and even as the Republicans begin assessing their promising next tier of Christie-Rubio-Jindal-maybe Ryan-maybe Jeb Bush candidates for 2016, they confront two discouraging realities. One is not having been able to beat a marginally popular president during a time of widespread economic distress. The other is seeing several big demographic blocs -- Latinos, blacks, women -- moving away from them.

What then? We're getting ahead of ourselves, but as a distraction here are several messages from readers.

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