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Iran After AsadBy Jon B. Alterman
http://csis.informz.net/CSIS/
Iran is already contemplating a future without Bashar al-Asad.
It is not as much good news for the United States as many would hope.
Few
can question that Bashar al-Asad’s regime is useful to Iran. Through a close
Iranian-Syrian partnership, the Iranians gain a powerful conduit to Lebanon’s
Shia community and access to two states that border Israel. Iran’s Syria
ties also help build Iran’s broader Middle Eastern bona fides, giving it
a frontrow seat to Arab regional issues. In addition, close ties to a state that
is at the heart of the Arab world helps undermine some of the anti-Shia and anti-Persian
hostility from Iran’s Gulf Cooperation Council neighbors that would prefer
the region see Iran as a meddling outsider.
And yet, it would
be a mistake to conclude that the survival of Asad’s regime is vital to
Iran.
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